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Newly released Sage minutes reveal that on 13th March, govt scientists warned that & #39;seeking to completely suppress spread of Covid19& #39; through a full lockdown would lead to a second peak in the virus, even as lockdowns were starting to be imposed across Europe.
Newly released Sage minutes reveal that on 13th March, govt scientists warned that & #39;seeking to completely suppress spread of Covid19& #39; through a full lockdown would lead to a second peak in the virus, even as lockdowns were starting to be imposed across Europe.
& #39;SAGE was unanimous that measures seeking to completely suppress spread of Covid19 will cause a second peak. SAGE advises that it is a near certainty that countries such as China, where heavy suppression is underway, will experience a second peak once measures are relaxed.& #39;
Re decision to allow Cheltenham (10/3-13/3) and Liverpool-Atletico (12/3)
5/3: & #39;SAGE agreed there is no evidence to suggest that banning very large gatherings would reduce transmission& #39;
10/3: & #39;SAGE noted that public gatherings pose a relatively low but not zero public risk& #39;
5/3: & #39;SAGE agreed there is no evidence to suggest that banning very large gatherings would reduce transmission& #39;
10/3: & #39;SAGE noted that public gatherings pose a relatively low but not zero public risk& #39;
All of this appears to support the UK government& #39;s claim that during March, it was following the guidance of its scientific advisers. So while there *were* warnings that its approach would lead to disaster, there *were not* such warnings coming from the group advising ministers.
