Good day! @angusreidorg& #39;s signature quarterly study on how Canadians view their premiers& #39; job performance is out. Suffice to say, this wave is an anomaly wrapped in outliers sprinkled with exceptions. Follow along as I walk you through the data https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🙂" title="Slightly smiling face" aria-label="Emoji: Slightly smiling face">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📊" title="Bar chart" aria-label="Emoji: Bar chart">
So let& #39;s start with the full picture. Here& #39;s the number of people in each of the provinces (with populations large enough for us to measure) who approve of their respective premiers:
Remember when I said this wave was an anomaly? It& #39;s the first time we& #39;ve measured premiers& #39; performance since the #COVID19 pandemic was declared. And people are really, really, approving of the way some premiers have handled the crisis
Take @BlaineHiggs, for example, in New Brunswick, where there have been relatively few cases and his approval has jumped a whopping 32 points: #nbpoli
Or, premier @francoislegault in Quebec, at 77% approval, an increase of 19 points over last quarter. Quebec has been among the worst hit by #COVID19 and there will be a reckoning around seniors care, but people there like Legault& #39;s style: #assnat
People have spoken of the @fordnation renaissance. Indeed, the once-extremely divisive premier of Ontario is how warming hearts across the political divide via his handling of the #COVID19 outbreak, and his approval has more than doubled over last quarter #onpoli
In BC, @jjhorgan usually emerges in a respectable place relative to others in this particular measure (not that it& #39;s a contest. OK actually it is, I am told the first minister put friendly wagers on this numbers). He too is rewarded big time for his pandemic performance:
Here& #39;s another anomaly. In #skpoli, @PremierScottMoe usually is the MOST approved of premier in the country. His approval is up 7 points this quarter, but 65% approval puts him in the middle of the pack:
Now @StephenMcNeil aka Mr. "Stay the Blazes Home" has not seen such high approval numbers in SIX years. Nova Scotians are pretty hard on their provincial politicians, but they think he& #39;s done pretty well over the last three months: #nspoli
In NFLD, people were so mad at @DwightBallNL he quit and promised to go away. But his management of #COVID19 in that province has netted the premier his highest approval numbers, ever:
Now for the two at the "back of the pack"...
Let me first contextualize the approval levels of @jkenney and @BrianPallister as normally very good. Indeed, theyd normally be among the MOST approved of in the country. But these are not normal times.
In Alberta, Premier @jkenney has been at the helm in a province with the largest #covid19 outbreak in the country (Cargill). His approval is statistically unchanged over last quarter, and down 13 points from a year ago. #abpoli:
Finally, we come to Manitoba, and @BrianPallister. Now, MB has had relatively few #COVID19 cases per capita compared to other provinces. So perhaps the appraisal of his job approval by Manitobans has relied less on this factor. He& #39;s up 4 points since Feb, in a decent place:
So that& #39;s the scan on premiers this quarter. This has been a time when people are looking to their politician for leadership, neutral tone, action and reassurance. They appear to be finding it at the provincial level.
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