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So we ran our model with 5 potential VP candidates last night. After 9 hours of coding and simulations based on demographics and regional strengths, the results were as expected but with some surprising twists.
Let& #39;s start with the worst-performing VP - Amy Klobuchar.
Let& #39;s start with the worst-performing VP - Amy Klobuchar.
Klobuchar as VP will suppress turnout among 2 core groups, African-Americans and those under 30.
She does well in Minnesota region (duh) but her strengths among older voters is not something Biden lacks.
Biden& #39;s odds of winning go from 74.27% to 69.12% with her on the ticket.
She does well in Minnesota region (duh) but her strengths among older voters is not something Biden lacks.
Biden& #39;s odds of winning go from 74.27% to 69.12% with her on the ticket.
The map above shows which States Klobuchar will help the ticket, relative to Biden& #39;s strength. A State which is majority African-American or fueled by younger voters, she hurts.
Her strength in upstate Wisconsin, for example, is crushed by lower turnout in Dane County (Madison).
Her strength in upstate Wisconsin, for example, is crushed by lower turnout in Dane County (Madison).
