1/Many articles recently on
#Iran&
#39;s strategy in
#Iraq shifting, with conclusions like:"..attribute Iran’s more flexible stance to pressure from US sanctions, devastating spread of coronavirus at home & death of Soleimani". There&
#39;s another way to look at calculations in Tehran:
https://twitter.com/ReutersIran/status/1265686955842560000">https://twitter.com/ReutersIr...
2/
#Iran&
#39;s strategy in
#Iraq has been rather consistent since 2003:
-ensure Iran-friendly & non-hostile actors hold power next door
-contain & eventually remove US military presence
-de facto cooperate with US when it benefits Tehran (eg. ISIS pushback)
-expand economic trade
3/
#Iran compromised on PM
#Kadhimi as
#Iraq&
#39;s unstable politics & economy began to hinder Iran&
#39;s own strategic goals. Kadhimi can
-maintain friendly gov in Baghdad
-work with DC on US troop withdrawal roadmap
-boost Iraq&
#39;s economy
--> All of which directly benefit Iran
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