Second, the point of lockdown appears strongly linked to eventual excess deaths.

Here, we show the relationship between an estimate of infections on lockdown day and eventual excess deaths

9/

As many experts say, the UK was late to lockdown and that cost many lives

10/

Number 10 has complained that we are jumping the gun with this international comparison and it should determine timing.

One statistician who was sympathetic @d_spiegel to the problems of comparisons says this after seeing the FT analysis

ENDS

Following helpful suggestions here on Twitter and elsewhere, we have changed our correlation chart to report on a per capita basis.

This removes an element of tautology in the original version, which we regret. It does not change the story.