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We have just issued the first of two updates to @CrisisGroup’s #WatchList2020.
It identifies 5 major crises and conflicts where the EU and its Member States can improve stability and foster stronger prospects for peace.
So what is new since our January edition?
THREAD:
It identifies 5 major crises and conflicts where the EU and its Member States can improve stability and foster stronger prospects for peace.
So what is new since our January edition?
THREAD:
2.
Easy: back in January, #COVID19 had not yet changed the world.
Today, Europe is one of the regions hit hardest by the pandemic. It& #39;s immediate and global impact has been more disruptive than any other crisis over the past decade.
Easy: back in January, #COVID19 had not yet changed the world.
Today, Europe is one of the regions hit hardest by the pandemic. It& #39;s immediate and global impact has been more disruptive than any other crisis over the past decade.
3.
Amid border closures, lockdowns and trade restrictions, the #EU was forced to look inwards while the new leadership& #39;s geopolitical ambitions were curbed.
But the EU reacted effectively, rebuilding internal solidarity and working to mitigate the virus& #39; impact.
Amid border closures, lockdowns and trade restrictions, the #EU was forced to look inwards while the new leadership& #39;s geopolitical ambitions were curbed.
But the EU reacted effectively, rebuilding internal solidarity and working to mitigate the virus& #39; impact.
4.
But more is needed. The virus carries the potential to bring further suffering and instability to already fragile contexts.
Europe should resist the temptation to look inward and stay at the forefront of conflict prevention efforts.
Here @CrisisGroup& #39;s five guideposts:
But more is needed. The virus carries the potential to bring further suffering and instability to already fragile contexts.
Europe should resist the temptation to look inward and stay at the forefront of conflict prevention efforts.
Here @CrisisGroup& #39;s five guideposts:
5.
Tensions in #CotedIvoire are building up along political and ethnic lines as elections for the succession to President Ouattara draw near.
As politicians debate over the election management, the opposition has denounced attempts of intimidation.
Tensions in #CotedIvoire are building up along political and ethnic lines as elections for the succession to President Ouattara draw near.
As politicians debate over the election management, the opposition has denounced attempts of intimidation.
6.
In #CotedIvoire the #EU should:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1️⃣" title="Keycap digit one" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit one"> Push for dialogue between government and opposition
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2️⃣" title="Keycap digit two" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit two"> Maximise chances for credible and transparent elections
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Keycap digit three" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit three"> Stand ready to monitor the vote
In #CotedIvoire the #EU should:
7.
#Myanmar is at the centre of three overlapping crises: the Rohingya crisis, the Arakan Army insurgency, and the desperate situation for displaced populations both within the country and in Bangladesh.
The virus has already entered refugee camps.
#Myanmar is at the centre of three overlapping crises: the Rohingya crisis, the Arakan Army insurgency, and the desperate situation for displaced populations both within the country and in Bangladesh.
The virus has already entered refugee camps.
8.
In #Myanmar the #EU should:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1️⃣" title="Keycap digit one" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit one"> Increase diplomatic pressure with international partners
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2️⃣" title="Keycap digit two" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit two"> Maintain significant humanitarian funding
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Keycap digit three" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit three"> Continue to support Rohingya refugees in Bangladesh
In #Myanmar the #EU should:
9.
The situation in #Syria is fragile and could break down at any point, right at Europe’s doorstep.
#COVID19 risks further compounding the humanitarian crisis, while Idlib remains the theatre of a potential disaster.
Russian-Turkish ceasefires have repeatedly broken down.
The situation in #Syria is fragile and could break down at any point, right at Europe’s doorstep.
#COVID19 risks further compounding the humanitarian crisis, while Idlib remains the theatre of a potential disaster.
Russian-Turkish ceasefires have repeatedly broken down.
10.
The #EU wants to avert ISIS resurgence and further suffering in #Syria. It should:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1️⃣" title="Keycap digit one" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit one"> Increase support for detention centres holding foreign fighters
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2️⃣" title="Keycap digit two" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit two"> Continue to press Turkey for a truce in the NE
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Keycap digit three" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit three"> Make humanitarian preparations for #COVID19 or an attack to Idlib
The #EU wants to avert ISIS resurgence and further suffering in #Syria. It should:
11.
#Yemen is already the site of the world’s worst humanitarian crisis. Fighting is again on the rise, and the looming economic crisis will aggravate the conflict.
The coronavirus risks further wrecking its collapsing health system.
#Yemen is already the site of the world’s worst humanitarian crisis. Fighting is again on the rise, and the looming economic crisis will aggravate the conflict.
The coronavirus risks further wrecking its collapsing health system.
12.
There, the #EU should:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1️⃣" title="Keycap digit one" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit one"> Increase humanitarian aid and make it its priority for the global #COVID19 response
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2️⃣" title="Keycap digit two" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit two"> Call for a broader and more inclusive peace process
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Keycap digit three" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit three"> Step-up direct diplomatic contacts with conflict parties
There, the #EU should:
13.
#Venezuela has been spared the worst of the virus, but the humanitarian emergency and political crisis persist, displacing more than 5.5m people.
The EU and Spain hosted the #Together4Venezuelans conference for the region. Yet a resolution to the standoff in Caracas is far.
#Venezuela has been spared the worst of the virus, but the humanitarian emergency and political crisis persist, displacing more than 5.5m people.
The EU and Spain hosted the #Together4Venezuelans conference for the region. Yet a resolution to the standoff in Caracas is far.
14.
In order to foster prospects of a resolution, the #EU should:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1️⃣" title="Keycap digit one" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit one"> Build international pressure to push for a release of aid funds held by the opposition
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="2️⃣" title="Keycap digit two" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit two"> Reactivate the International Contact Group
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Keycap digit three" aria-label="Emoji: Keycap digit three"> Help mitigate the impact of U.S. sanctions to #Venezuela’s population
In order to foster prospects of a resolution, the #EU should:
15.
This is not all. #COVID19 magnifies conflict drivers in already fragile contexts.
More areas will require a stronger international engagement to prevent new crises and old ones escalating.
The #EU can play an essential role in this global effort.
This is not all. #COVID19 magnifies conflict drivers in already fragile contexts.
More areas will require a stronger international engagement to prevent new crises and old ones escalating.
The #EU can play an essential role in this global effort.
https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/watch-list-2020-spring-edition
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These are @CrisisGroup’s recommendations on how to do so
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