(Ongoing Indo-China tensions-A thread)
The ongoing Indo-China skirmish as a fall out of PLA mobilisation into Ladakh are probably India's worst border tensions since Kargil 1999. People believe there are different reasons that prompted China to transgress into the territory. 1/n

While some believe it is in the aftermath of Article-370 abrogation, some project CPEC as the main factor, while The Hindu sees Pakistan as the main force behind it. To me, all the factors are responsible, thought not equally, for the on-going tensions. 2/n

China has been slowly intruding into the area from over a decade now and India's response has always been reactive one rather than being of proactive nature. But things are not smooth as they used to be, current tragression is more fast and agressive... 3/n

..and can easily be considered a plan than a normal intrusion.
A country like China would never want to vitiate its national security. So, when the state of J&K was bifurcated into two UTs, it definitely bothered China who claim one of the UTs (Ladakh) belongs to them..
4/n

..and as such threatened their possible future hold over the region as a result of much stronger Indian stand: both at the border and inside. As of now, some very strategic areas are under the control of intruding PLA. 5/n

Two of the very important areas i.e Galowan Valley and whole of the Pangong lake are under chineese troopers whose presence could not only threaten India's security in the area but will also aid china in watching over the CPEC and ensure its smooth functioning. 6/n

Not to undermine China's heavy investment in this project which can aptly be referred as the backbone of Chineese Economy in the coming years. 7/n

But much of the rationale also lies in the fact that Pangong lake can literally be termed as a disputed region between India and China because of the difference in the perception of Line of Actual Control. 8/n

Almost two-thirds of the 134km long lake belongs to China while the reamaining one-third belongs to India. For demarcation purposes the various protrusions on the northern bank of the lake are identified as Fingers. 9/n

While India claims that the LAC starts at Finger 8 but China indentifies Finger 2 as the demarcation point of LAC. Because of this perception difference of LAC ,the area has witnessed a history of skirmishes between forces of the two nations. 10/n

Don't get suprised by the PLA camps & hovering jets in the area, and don't take it seriously, Xi Jingping advising his army to prepare for war, for war is not happening anytime soon. 11/n

Maybe China's motives have succeeded and they would stop further intrusion but they definitely won't backtrack. 12/n

Furthermore, China currently suffers from some global outrage against COVID-19, declining GDP and issues with some other countries like Tibet, USA etc. Or internal issues like that of Uyghurs and the two SARs Hong kong & Macau.13/n

People of Hong Kong have been protesting against Beijing for a long while now, which has increased manifold in the last year. But all this doesn't stops Communist Party of China from taking decisions and acting upon them. 14/n

Just to mention that less than a week ago in the annual National People's Congress, Beijing set in motion the imposition of new controversial laws that could possibly end Hong Kong's autonomy which they had been enjoying since 1997..
15/n

...when the erstwhile British colony got freedom. Some critics believe that this may well mark an end to the constitutional principle of "one country, two systems." 16/n

China is a power house but more than anything they are always masterminds when it comes to manipulating situations, but still it won't go for a war anytime soon. The ongoing escalation will de-escalate soon, the areas gained will remain under Chineese control.. 17/n

..and India's reactive response will prioritise and emphasize on the safeguarding of the remaining areas. In nutshell, advantage China. 18/18.
(end of the thread)
Thank you.