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If PLA has changed the status quo along the LAC, will India scramble in Kargil-esque way to revert the old status-quo or settle with the new reality? I don't know. But here are two things I revisited to think about it. 1/4
1) The Chinese strategy is unclear but it has echoes of what @daltman_IR calls the "fait accompli" strategy of territorial acquisition. And it is not as uncommon as one might think. Check out his interesting @ISQ_Jrnl article: https://academic.oup.com/isq/article-abstract/61/4/881/4781720 2/4
2) What did it take India to revert status quo on Kargil? Per Gill: an op with 1 preexisting division+move of 19 infantry & 6 artillery regiments to theatre in 3 weeks, & credible widening war threat, including r-ments from Bengal Bay to Arabian Sea. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01402390.2019.1570144?src=recsys 3/4
I should add that when comparing with Kargil, all sorts of qualifiers apply, like very imperfect comparison, different military balance, goals/objectives, and alliance politics, etc. Still, one instructive takeaway is that it was pretty hard and final outcome was uncertain. 4/4
