Read on Twitter
Thread is about #lockdowns.
The ubiquitous purpose of #lockdown is that it gives time to prepare the health system to meet any potential surge in cases. It is the only greatest unequivocal advantage.
Most countries weren't prepared fully to meet the surge in #COVIDー19 cases
The ubiquitous purpose of #lockdown is that it gives time to prepare the health system to meet any potential surge in cases. It is the only greatest unequivocal advantage.
Most countries weren't prepared fully to meet the surge in #COVIDー19 cases
Myths: It can flatten the curve like magical action
Fact: #lockdowns can only reduce the rate of transmission. In addition, flattening is further decided by human behaviour (implementation), density and clustering of cases (dispersion index)etc
Fact: #lockdowns can only reduce the rate of transmission. In addition, flattening is further decided by human behaviour (implementation), density and clustering of cases (dispersion index)etc
Myth: Lockdowns are temporary measures to wait for vaccine or till get you drugs for covid19.
Fact: There are huge social and economic costs. No country can afford to continue lockdowns until either a vaccine or drug is available; real purpose of a lockdown is to prepare better.
Fact: There are huge social and economic costs. No country can afford to continue lockdowns until either a vaccine or drug is available; real purpose of a lockdown is to prepare better.
Myth: You should not exit from lockdown when there is a surge in cases.
Fact: This is natural, Virus will spread when susceptibles are there. The health system is ready to meet the surge in cases and reduce mortality. There will be more cases while you relax the lockdown norms.
Fact: This is natural, Virus will spread when susceptibles are there. The health system is ready to meet the surge in cases and reduce mortality. There will be more cases while you relax the lockdown norms.
Most illogical: Anyway there is increase in cases, mortality is also high, so lockdown has failed.
Fact: Read the above tweets. The assumption is flawed. Decreased Ro and increased doubling time are parameters to assess the success, not the number of cases.
Fact: Read the above tweets. The assumption is flawed. Decreased Ro and increased doubling time are parameters to assess the success, not the number of cases.
Myth: whether you do lockdown or not, the results are same.
Fact: The goal of national efforts are to reduce mortality. Purpose of lockdown is to prepare the health system to meet this goal.
The argument "do nothing" is unethical; Details in this thread https://twitter.com/epigiri/status/1264891616831197184?s=20
Fact: The goal of national efforts are to reduce mortality. Purpose of lockdown is to prepare the health system to meet this goal.
The argument "do nothing" is unethical; Details in this thread https://twitter.com/epigiri/status/1264891616831197184?s=20
