Read on Twitter
Thread
For @Timcast
@realDonaldTrump is going to be reelected. Take that to the bank.
Unlike others, I can explain exactly why.
I actually LEARNED from the 2016 election.
For @Timcast
@realDonaldTrump is going to be reelected. Take that to the bank.
Unlike others, I can explain exactly why.
I actually LEARNED from the 2016 election.
According to professional pollsters, there were three reasons why the polls were so wrong in 2016.
1. A large number of people changed their minds at the last minute.
This was during the week after the final polls.
This was during the week after the final polls.
2. Trump supporters refuse to take part in polling.
3. People who've never voted before can't be polled. They aren't on any voter rolls.
THOSE THREE FACTORS WILL HAVE A GREATER IMPACT IN 2020.
In 2016, Trump was an unknown quantity.
NOW, he's delivered.
It's BIDEN who's the unknown quantity.
He's the most famous nonentity in the country.
And he's senile.
NOW, he's delivered.
It's BIDEN who's the unknown quantity.
He's the most famous nonentity in the country.
And he's senile.
The "what the heck" dynamic of 2016 is not present in 2020.
NOW, it's "Do I reject the only president who's ever delivered just because he doesn't speak the way Hollywood presidents speak?"
NOW, everybody knows that Trump can rebuild the economy.
NOW, it's "Do I reject the only president who's ever delivered just because he doesn't speak the way Hollywood presidents speak?"
NOW, everybody knows that Trump can rebuild the economy.
For whatever reason, the press and pundits have ignored the WORK of the coolest guy in politics.
@parscale regularly posted stats from Trump rallies.
At some of them, as many as 40 percent of the audience were Democrats, and 25 percent had never voted.
That right there is game over.
About 58,000 voters decided the 2016 election.
You think that's not doable in 2020?
At some of them, as many as 40 percent of the audience were Democrats, and 25 percent had never voted.
That right there is game over.
About 58,000 voters decided the 2016 election.
You think that's not doable in 2020?
But there's more!
Mail-in voting is actually benefitting the Republicans.
That's why Trump is so loudly opposing it.
The Democrats are falling into yet another trap.
Mail-in voting is actually benefitting the Republicans.
That's why Trump is so loudly opposing it.
The Democrats are falling into yet another trap.
The Democrats have utterly screwed their chances by trying to destroy the economy and keep people locked up during the pandemic.
Nobody blames TRUMP; they blame the Democrats.
AND.
Nobody blames TRUMP; they blame the Democrats.
AND.
Trump has a lot more support from traditionally Democratic voters NOW than he did in 2020.
All Trump needs is 270 electoral votes.
About 70,000 voters max.
You keep saying that confidence is bad.
No.
Confidence based on FACTS is not bad at all.
All Trump needs is 270 electoral votes.
About 70,000 voters max.
You keep saying that confidence is bad.
No.
Confidence based on FACTS is not bad at all.
If you STUDY this, it's possible to make predictions confidently.
This isn't a crapshoot.
The amazing thing about this election season is that NOBODY TAKES TRUMP INTO ACOUNT.
All we hear about is what the Democrats are doing.
This isn't a crapshoot.
The amazing thing about this election season is that NOBODY TAKES TRUMP INTO ACOUNT.
All we hear about is what the Democrats are doing.
I guess people think that Trump is sitting somewhere, biting his fingernails and hoping everything works out for the best.
It's another lesson from 2016 that nobody learned.
Hillary didn't lose.
TRUMP WON.
It's another lesson from 2016 that nobody learned.
Hillary didn't lose.
TRUMP WON.
And he'll win again.
A pollster said on election night in 2016 that Trump made all their election models obsolete.
It's because YOU CAN'T POLL ACCURATELY when it comes to Trump.
But you can look at all the factors and be confident about the outcome.
A pollster said on election night in 2016 that Trump made all their election models obsolete.
It's because YOU CAN'T POLL ACCURATELY when it comes to Trump.
But you can look at all the factors and be confident about the outcome.
Trump gets reelected.
Guaranteed.
END
Guaranteed.
END
