DINO PREDICTION:

HUGE COVID 2ND WAVE.

COVIDIOTS WILL BLOCK OFFICIAL LOCKDOWNS.

REMOTERS WILL BUILD NEW REMOTE ECONOMY WITHOUT THEM.

WHAT NEW REMOTE ECONOMY LOOK LIKE?

1. HOME OFFICE/SCHOOL

2. HOME ENTERTAINMENT

3. HOME SOCIAL

4. DELIVERY EVERYTHING

HOME SHIFT TO “SPACESHIP.”

PREMIUM ON BIG, HAVE EVERYTHING YOU NEED.

REMOTE WORK MEAN FLIGHT FROM CITY TO WHEREVER BIG CHEAP HOUSE, BUT STILL CLOSE ENOUGH TO NON-DELIVERY SERVICES LIKE HAIRCUT, HOSPITAL, DENTIST.

MID-TIER CITY SUBURBS/EXURBS, ME THINK.

SCHOOL GOING TO GET WEIRD.

HYBRID 1ST, LIKE OFFICE.

MAYBE WEWORK MODEL, SMALL LOCAL SCHOOLROOM WITH ONE TEACHER/TUTOR, MANY GRADES.

CENTRAL SCHOOL FOR HIGHEST NEED STUDENTS.

VALUE OF GET KIDS OUT OF HOUSE TOO HIGH FOR WORK AT HOME AND LOW-INCOME HUMANS TO GIVE UP.

HOME SOCIAL EASY. MOST IN-PERSON SOCIAL ALREADY DECLINING FOR YEARS.

LIKE PRINT NEWSPAPERS, DIE VERY SLOW, LAST IN RURAL AREAS.

SOME STARTUP FIGURE OUT REMOTE WITH FRIENDS EVENTS.

KIDS ALREADY DOING IT IN GAMES.

BIG LOSERS?

CARS
TOURISM
HOTELS
AIRLINES
RETAIL

NOT COINCIDENCE THOSE ALL OLD LOW-INNOVATION INDUSTRIES THAT BEEN TRYING TO DIE FOR DECADES.

SOME LOSE/SOME ADAPT:

RESTAURANTS: PIZZA FIGURE OUT DELIVERY THAT NOT TERRIBLE. SOME OF REST WILL TOO.

PREMIUM DELIVERY HUGE GROWTH MARKET.

GROCERY: DELIVERY HALFWAY THERE NOW. SOME WILL SURVIVE BESIDES AMAZON.

MAYBE ICECREAM TRUCK FOR EVERYTHING MODEL MAKE COMEBACK.

BIG WINNERS: MOSTLY ONES ALREADY WINNING.

BUG SHIFT LIKE AVALANCHE. BUILD UP UNTIL RANDOM EVENT MOVE ENOUGH PEBBLES.

COVID THE EVENT.

ONLINE RETAIL, GAMES, SOCIAL MEDIA, REMOTE INFRASTRUCTURE.

MOST EXCITING NEW OCEANS:

BETTER REMOTE TOOLS. HOW TO REMOTE IN 5 YEARS GOING TO BE TOTALLY DIFFERENT.

HOW TO YOUNG PERSON. ONES GROW UP INTERNET GROWN UP NOW. NO ONE KNOW WHAT GROW UP REMOTE LIKE YET.

SOMEONE GOING TO BUILD GAME CHANGER FOR THAT.