“The US China War Games”

War games are simulations of future wars and are regularly conducted by the US DoD. The Chinese know far more about the US military and its vulnerabilities than the Americans and their elected representatives did. War games have just proven that.

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The US military uses war games to model actual campaigns against rival powers in which each side fights with the military forces that it realistically expects to have in the near future. The opponent is always the red team, and the US military is always the blue team.

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This is how David Ochmanek, former Pentagon official in the Obama administration, described what has happened in those war games for years now:
“When we fight China or Russia, blue gets its ass handed to it. We lose a lot of people. We lose a lot of equipment.

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We usually fail to achieve our objective of preventing aggression by the adversary.
Everyone assumes based on 25 years of experience that we have a dominant military establishment—that when we go to war, we always win, we win big, and there isn’t any question about this.

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And when you say to people, “not so fast,” they are shocked, because they have not had this experience”

Truth is even worse than Ochmanek describes. Over the past decade, in US war games against China, the US has a nearly perfect record: they have lost almost every single time.

The American people do not know this. Most members of Congress do not know this—even though they should. But in the Department of Defense, this is a well-known fact.

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During the last four years of his life, John McCain was chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee. The chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Joseph Dunford, had testified to McCain’s committee in June 2018.

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“In just a few years,” General Dunford said, “if we do not change our trajectory, we will lose our qualitative and quantitative competitive advantage.”

In other words, the US military would no longer be the best.

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A few months later, the RAND Corporation, a renowned nonpartisan research institute whose military analysis McCain concluded in a major report that “U.S. forces could, under plausible assumptions, lose the next war they are called upon to fight.”

Reference:
1. “The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare” by Christian Brose
2. Remarks of David Ochmanek at the Center for a New American Security, Panel Discussion: A New American Way of War, May 7,
2019. https://www.cnas.org/events/panel-discussion-a-new-americanway-of-war.

3. General Joseph Dunford, Testimony Before the Senate Armed Services Committee, June 13, 2017, https://www.armedservices.senate.gov/hearings/17-06-13-department-of-defense-budgetpostur

4. David Ochmanek, Peter Wilson, Brenna Allen, John Speed Meyers, and Carter C. Price, U.S. Military Capabilities and Forces for a Dangerous World, 2017