The Pareto principle—80/20 rule—law of the vital few, is quickly getting backing for #SARSCoV2 transmissibility.
3 preprints, using 3 different methods, different patient cohorts, show a small % of infections account for a large proportion of spread.
A table to summarize https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Down pointing backhand index" aria-label="Emoji: Down pointing backhand index">
Links to these preprints:
International, modeling
https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-67 
https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/... href="https://twitter.com/_akiraendo">@_akiraendo @adamjkucharski and colleagues
Israel, sequencing
@Daniellemlrs @SternLab
Cluster tracing, Hong Kong
@DillonCAdam @gmleunghku @bencowling88
This @ScienceMagazine summary by @kakape is outstanding for explaining what we know about "overdispersion" (aka super spreader) events tied to settings, individuals, and timing https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/why-do-some-covid-19-patients-infect-many-others-whereas-most-don-t-spread-virus-all
And">https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020... this ★ thread @SternLab https://twitter.com/SternLab/status/1264084563896254465">https://twitter.com/SternLab/...
Knowing the dominant role of overdispersion helps in many ways, such as prevention of high risk settings
Best paper by @gmknght and colleagues https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-83/v1

And">https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/... prioritize contact tracing, as pointed out by @nataliexdean https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Down pointing backhand index" aria-label="Emoji: Down pointing backhand index"> https://twitter.com/nataliexdean/status/1264394137723260929">https://twitter.com/nataliexd...
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