Just got some grief for taking Newman as QB6 in a recent CFF best ball draft. While I did intentionally take him early in order to ensure I stacked him with Pickens, I looked at some historical Monken QB numbers from Ok State and meshed them with some of Newman's '19 rush #s:

If Jamie Newman throws for exactly what Brandon Weeden did under Monken in 2011 and accounted for exactly his 2019 rushing numbers at Wake, he averages 37 FPPG in this format, good for the QB3 in 2019 FPPG, behind only Hurts and Burrow.

If Jamie Newman throws for exactly what Brandon Weeden did under Monken in 2011 and only accounted for 1/2 of his 2019 rushing numbers at Wake, he averages 33 FPPG in this format, good for the QB4 in 2019 FPPG, behind only Hurts, Burrow, and Gordon.

If Jamie Newman throws for 80% of what Brandon Weeden did under Monken in 2011 and only accounted for 1/2 of his 2019 rushing numbers at Wake, he averages 27 FPPG in this format, good for the QB19 in 2019 FPPG.

If Jamie Newman throws for exactly what all three Monken QBs (QBBC) did in 2012 and accounted for exactly his 2019 rushing numbers at Wake, he averages 35 FPPG in this format, good for the QB4 in 2019 FPPG, behind only Hurts, Burrow, and Gordon.

If Jamie Newman throws for exactly what all three Monken QBs (QBBC) did in 2012 and accounted for exactly their rushing totals, he averages 33 FPPG in this format, good for the QB4 in 2019 FPPG, behind only Hurts, Burrow, and Gordon.

If Jamie Newman throws for 80% what all three Monken QBs (QBBC) did in 2012 and only accounted for 1/2 of his 2019 rushing yards at Wake, he averages 26 FPPG in this format, good for the QB23 in 2019 FPPG.

The areas where this could get squirrelly are:

1. Level of defenses being exponentially tougher at UGA than for Ok State or Wake
2. The Mel Tucker effect - aka a defensive-minded HC meddles in affairs of OC and hamstrings the unit
3. Game scripts don't favor passing volume

In two April drafts and one May draft that I've been a part of, Newman has gone as QB8, QB9, QB6. One could argue that these prices don't properly account for floor, especially with a risk-averse owner or one who doesn't take the time to account for coordinator histories.

However, I would say that stacking Newman and Pickens with 2 of the top 4 picks could produce comparable results to those that many of us DFS players enjoyed in '19 when stacking either Tua with that game's WR1 or Burrow with that game's WR1.

* It is worth noting that I carry roughly an eighth grade equivalent of math aptitude, and I royally screwed up all my calculations. One thing is certain: I WILL HAVE MY DAY IN @theCFFsite COURT!

Because of how many friends this topic has, and is sure to make for me in the future, here's a look at what we may see from the Cookie Monster, George Pickens.

In those aforementioned OK State offenses, here's a look at the WR1 from 2011 and 2012

2011: 122-1522-18 rec (13 games)
2012: 101-1210-7 rec (13 games)

Avg of 112-1366-13

In half PPR, that's:

2011: 24 FPPG - WR2 in 2019 (Ja'Marr Chase closest)
2012: 16 FPPG - WR25 in 2019 (Chase Claypool closest)
Avg: 20 FPPG - WR6 in 2019 (James Proche closest)

2011: 122-1522-18 rec (13 games)
2012: 101-1210-7 rec (13 games)

Avg of 112-1366-13

In full PPR, that's:

2011: 29 FPPG - WR1 in 2019 (Ja'Marr Chase closest)
2012: 20 FPPG - WR19 in 2019 (Tre Walker closest)
Avg: 25 FPPG - WR6 in 2019 (Justin Jefferson closest)

Using the greatest game ever played by a WR in world history, Pickens Sugar Bowl performance of 12-175-1 extrapolated for 13 games:

156-2275-13. That would put him right at 36 FPPG in full PPR and 30 FPPG in half PPR. Shockingly, that would position him as the WR1 in all formats

"VEGAS" SAID HE COULDN'T CATCH FOUR