Read on Twitter
1/ As someone who, ahem, covers *the realignment*, the opposite will occur.
A Trump win would validate populist arguments about the GOP, and opens a lane for a candidate who can articulate a right-populism that works, aka Moore & Laffer banned from the WH, w/ a focus on workers. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1264165830490800133
A Trump win would validate populist arguments about the GOP, and opens a lane for a candidate who can articulate a right-populism that works, aka Moore & Laffer banned from the WH, w/ a focus on workers. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1264165830490800133
2/ The media personalities @mattyglesias's referring to are attracted to the pols like @HawleyMO & @marcorubio who could fill this role in 2024.
They imagine they'd be comfortable in a working-class GOP comfortable w/spending opposing a Dem Party all-in on the moderate burbs.
They imagine they'd be comfortable in a working-class GOP comfortable w/spending opposing a Dem Party all-in on the moderate burbs.
3/ However, If Trump loses reelection, the GOP will quickly pivot back to 2015 domestic policy, with some added China hawkishness to unify the coalition.
Expect a lot of "Trump spent too much money, didn't cut taxes enough, and didn't end OCare" from this crowd.
Expect a lot of "Trump spent too much money, didn't cut taxes enough, and didn't end OCare" from this crowd.
4/ The GOP establishment's #1 priority will be recovering the suburbs. That's where the 2015 "low taxes and fiscal responsibility" agenda comes in.
In this scenario, the populist right will have the same problem Bernie had: suburban voters aren't looking to overthrow the system
In this scenario, the populist right will have the same problem Bernie had: suburban voters aren't looking to overthrow the system
5/ @JDVance1 is being sarcastic, but this possible portrait of the 2024 GOP isn't off: https://twitter.com/JDVance1/status/1263891163892846592?s=20
6/ The anti-establishment left/media personality won't want any part of a GOP trying to win over college educated, suburban voters.
Especially when you consider that they aren't socially conservative, aren't China hawks, and don't favor limited government.
Especially when you consider that they aren't socially conservative, aren't China hawks, and don't favor limited government.
7/ "The Realignment" is about changing coalitions and issues. It doesn't have to favor anyone's policy agenda.
Under Trump, the Dem's have gotten more suburban, and the GOP has gone further down-market.
Media personalities have to choose which coalition they should lean in to.
Under Trump, the Dem's have gotten more suburban, and the GOP has gone further down-market.
Media personalities have to choose which coalition they should lean in to.
