1/ As someone who, ahem, covers *the realignment*, the opposite will occur.

A Trump win would validate populist arguments about the GOP, and opens a lane for a candidate who can articulate a right-populism that works, aka Moore & Laffer banned from the WH, w/ a focus on workers. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1264165830490800133">https://twitter.com/mattygles...

2/ The media personalities @mattyglesias& #39;s referring to are attracted to the pols like @HawleyMO & @marcorubio who could fill this role in 2024.

They imagine they& #39;d be comfortable in a working-class GOP comfortable w/spending opposing a Dem Party all-in on the moderate burbs.

3/ However, If Trump loses reelection, the GOP will quickly pivot back to 2015 domestic policy, with some added China hawkishness to unify the coalition.

Expect a lot of "Trump spent too much money, didn& #39;t cut taxes enough, and didn& #39;t end OCare" from this crowd.

4/ The GOP establishment& #39;s #1 priority will be recovering the suburbs. That& #39;s where the 2015 "low taxes and fiscal responsibility" agenda comes in.

In this scenario, the populist right will have the same problem Bernie had: suburban voters aren& #39;t looking to overthrow the system

5/ @JDVance1 is being sarcastic, but this possible portrait of the 2024 GOP isn& #39;t off: https://twitter.com/JDVance1/status/1263891163892846592?s=20">https://twitter.com/JDVance1/...

6/ The anti-establishment left/media personality won& #39;t want any part of a GOP trying to win over college educated, suburban voters.

Especially when you consider that they aren& #39;t socially conservative, aren& #39;t China hawks, and don& #39;t favor limited government.

7/ "The Realignment" is about changing coalitions and issues. It doesn& #39;t have to favor anyone& #39;s policy agenda.

Under Trump, the Dem& #39;s have gotten more suburban, and the GOP has gone further down-market.

Media personalities have to choose which coalition they should lean in to.