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(1/11) On 19 March 2020 @SkyBetLeagueOne was suspended with each team having played 34-36 matches out of 44 in total (variable by team). @TranmereRovers had ten games of the season left to play.
(2/11) A year earlier, an equivalent point in the season was reached on 10 March 2019; 20 out of 24 teams in @SkyBetLeagueOne had ten games of the 18/19 season remaining.
(3/11) @Only1Argyle, @WFCOfficial, and @SUFCOfficial were placed 15th, 16th, 18th in @SkyBetLeagueOne respectively.
All three clubs struggled during the final ten games and ended the season in the relegation zone.
All three clubs struggled during the final ten games and ended the season in the relegation zone.
(4/11) If a points per game (PPG) calculation had been applied to the 18/19 @SkyBetLeagueOne season on 10 March 2019, @Only1Argyle, @WFCOfficial, & @SUFCOfficial would have stayed up.
@OUFCOfficial, @officiallydale & @AFCWimbledon would have been relegated instead.
@OUFCOfficial, @officiallydale & @AFCWimbledon would have been relegated instead.
(5/11) PPG would have resulted in an average forecasting error of 3.87pts per team when compared to the actual 18/19 @SkyBetLeagueOne final standings.
For context, five clubs (17th-21st place) were separate by just 3pts in the final table.
For context, five clubs (17th-21st place) were separate by just 3pts in the final table.
(6/11) Half of all 18/19 @SkyBetLeagueOne teams would have experienced a variation of 5% or more against their actual final points totals if PPG had been applied on 10 March 2019.
(7/11) The greatest variation would have affected @OUFCOfficial.
PPG would have resulted in a 17% under-estimation of Oxford's final 18/19 points total and they would have been relegated.
PPG forecast: 49.83pts.
Actual: 60pts.
PPG would have resulted in a 17% under-estimation of Oxford's final 18/19 points total and they would have been relegated.
PPG forecast: 49.83pts.
Actual: 60pts.
(8/11) Currently the @EFL rules do not allow PPG to be used to conclude a @SkyBetLeagueOne season prematurely.
However, the EFL Board have recommended the rule's introduction and retrospective application to resolve the 19/20 season.
However, the EFL Board have recommended the rule's introduction and retrospective application to resolve the 19/20 season.
(9/11) @FA recommended that tiers 3-7 of @TheVanaramaNL should be voided, rather than decided by PPG, in order to protect the integrity of the competition.
(10/11) When the 19/20 season was suspended, @TranmereRovers were three points behind @AFCWimbledon with a game in hand. The two clubs still had to play each other.
(11/11) The @EFL proposes that PPG should be applied to @SkyBetLeagueOne and that, in effect, @TranmereRovers should be relegated with ten games unplayed.
They suggest this will maintain the integrity of the football league!
They suggest this will maintain the integrity of the football league!
