(1/11) On 19 March 2020 @SkyBetLeagueOne was suspended with each team having played 34-36 matches out of 44 in total (variable by team). @TranmereRovers had ten games of the season left to play.
(2/11) A year earlier, an equivalent point in the season was reached on 10 March 2019; 20 out of 24 teams in @SkyBetLeagueOne had ten games of the 18/19 season remaining.
(3/11) @Only1Argyle, @WFCOfficial, and @SUFCOfficial were placed 15th, 16th, 18th in @SkyBetLeagueOne respectively.

All three clubs struggled during the final ten games and ended the season in the relegation zone.
(4/11) If a points per game (PPG) calculation had been applied to the 18/19 @SkyBetLeagueOne season on 10 March 2019, @Only1Argyle, @WFCOfficial, & @SUFCOfficial would have stayed up.

@OUFCOfficial, @officiallydale & @AFCWimbledon would have been relegated instead.
(5/11) PPG would have resulted in an average forecasting error of 3.87pts per team when compared to the actual 18/19 @SkyBetLeagueOne final standings.

For context, five clubs (17th-21st place) were separate by just 3pts in the final table.
(6/11) Half of all 18/19 @SkyBetLeagueOne teams would have experienced a variation of 5% or more against their actual final points totals if PPG had been applied on 10 March 2019.
(7/11) The greatest variation would have affected @OUFCOfficial.

PPG would have resulted in a 17% under-estimation of Oxford's final 18/19 points total and they would have been relegated.
PPG forecast: 49.83pts.
Actual: 60pts.
(8/11) Currently the @EFL rules do not allow PPG to be used to conclude a @SkyBetLeagueOne season prematurely.

However, the EFL Board have recommended the rule's introduction and retrospective application to resolve the 19/20 season.
(9/11) @FA recommended that tiers 3-7 of @TheVanaramaNL should be voided, rather than decided by PPG, in order to protect the integrity of the competition.
(10/11) When the 19/20 season was suspended, @TranmereRovers were three points behind @AFCWimbledon with a game in hand. The two clubs still had to play each other.
(11/11) The @EFL proposes that PPG should be applied to @SkyBetLeagueOne and that, in effect, @TranmereRovers should be relegated with ten games unplayed.

They suggest this will maintain the integrity of the football league! 🤦‍♂️
You can follow @markbrunnen.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: