Read on Twitter
So I'm revising some of my COVID thoughts
200k deaths by June isn't happening. Right now we are stable at around 1500-2000 per day
I now think we are at the end of the first wave. We have bent the curve. I haven't thought either of those things before but here's why I do now 1/ https://twitter.com/TheNoahHendrix/status/1257475785381863426
200k deaths by June isn't happening. Right now we are stable at around 1500-2000 per day
I now think we are at the end of the first wave. We have bent the curve. I haven't thought either of those things before but here's why I do now 1/ https://twitter.com/TheNoahHendrix/status/1257475785381863426
Right now daily cases are still rising, but so is testing. I see lots of arguments over the curve but nobody has made a testing-adjusted cases chart. So I did an extremely basic one. Daily cases divided by testing per capita over time
(Thoughts @Noahpinion? Nice name btw)
(Thoughts @Noahpinion? Nice name btw)
I see two reasons why the numbers are not rising as much as I expected
1) People are still not going out in large numbers. It’s the virus, not lockdown rules, keeping us inside
2) A lot more people are wearing masks than I expected. Good job people
1) People are still not going out in large numbers. It’s the virus, not lockdown rules, keeping us inside
2) A lot more people are wearing masks than I expected. Good job people
It's important to remember that today's numbers are reflective of our actions 1-2 weeks ago. Just because we haven't yet seen a spike after limited reopening doesn't mean we won't.
If I were in charge of reopening:
-Require masks
-Allow outdoor seating for restaurants and others with social distancing guidelines, but severely limit indoor crowds
-No decisions about the fall (i.e. schools) until mid-summer at earliest
-Require masks
-Allow outdoor seating for restaurants and others with social distancing guidelines, but severely limit indoor crowds
-No decisions about the fall (i.e. schools) until mid-summer at earliest
