Read on Twitter
Don& #39;t get distracted.
Novel coronavirus sure isn& #39;t.
It& #39;s aiming to thrive, to win. It figured out how to reach the globe through a ubiquitous large-in-number mammal species that is good at exploring every inch of Earth and which sometimes has ventured out into space. 1/
Novel coronavirus sure isn& #39;t.
It& #39;s aiming to thrive, to win. It figured out how to reach the globe through a ubiquitous large-in-number mammal species that is good at exploring every inch of Earth and which sometimes has ventured out into space. 1/
It& #39;s invisible to that species. It used to be in other animals, ones that are not meant to be in direct contact with this large species, but coronavirus has just reported a breakout growth statement in its 10-K filing. Hottest growth stock. 2/
As a member of target species, (troll or bot you say, quibbles) I urge all to focus. I was made aware through a "note on pandemics" by nntaleb, yaneerbaryam, and normonics (I& #39;m not "att-ing" them here though I often do as a shoutout and out of gratitude.) 3/
And this thread is a proto-catalog of distractions I have noticed on twitter-verse (I& #39;ve pretty much dispensed with TV/radio media.) I may be adding to the catalog here below this thread if I have the discipline. Hopefully not - that would mean we aren& #39;t distracted anymore. 4/
Distraction #1: Cure can& #39;t be worse than the disease. We& #39;ve got to reopen asap. Reopening blind just means giving corona more ways to infect. President of Ghana stated "We know how to bring an economy back to life. we don& #39;t know is how to bring a person back to life. 5/
Distraction #2: Endless lockdown vs. total reopen. This is a false choice. Lockdown is ONE of four basic steps to & #39;phasing in precaution.& #39; [Identify systemic threat -> clamp down -> detect/classify -> relax ] (See normonics) I add "repeat if necessary." 6/
#2 continued. Because this hasn& #39;t been communicated as a strategy, people have gone along with a lockdown but expected us to WIN, and now we haven& #39;t prepared at all for next step. See @JeremyKonyndyk thread today May 14 2020 on the 2 months we haven& #39;t done anything. 7/
Distraction #3: Focusing on perfect data for decisionmaking. A recurring @nntaleb point - you need to decide without having perfect knowledge. You don& #39;t wait until the house burns down to put out the grease fire in the kitchen. @HarryDCrane is clear on this too. 8/
Distraction #4: Misinformation. "Just like the flu" (refutation by Burn-Murdoch excess deaths FT); it& #39;s an urban problem (US rural spikes), Summer& #39;s here (Ecuador/Brazil), it& #39;s mild and we& #39;ve got this for a while (this week& #39;s info from France, Spain, and Indiana), ETC. 9/
Distraction #5: Very subtle: People focusing on doing the very best in a bunch of areas but NOT communicating the NECESSARY AND SUFFICIENT conditions to beat the virus. I& #39;m not going to call out people here, they& #39;re doing good, but also maybe creating a false hope. 10/
#5 con& #39;td: The false hope is that there is no guarantee that if we do all that, we will have done enough. The question that has to be answered by a strategy is: Do the strategy (and set of actions) allow achieving a victory if executed?
Distraction #6: Politics. It is an election season. The election is in November. It& #39;s May. It& #39;s FIGHT CORONA time, not anything else. Anyone whose actions distract us from FIGHTING CORONA isn& #39;t helping. Forget the politics, there is a season for everything.
Distraction #7: "The Experts Moved the GoalPosts." Well, depends on which experts. The ones that saw this coming early and warned, aren& #39;t. There has been a lack of communicating WHAT IS NECESSARY TO WIN and what the strategy needs to be, so many are surprised. 13/
Shout-out on all of this: http://endcoronavirus.org"> http://endcoronavirus.org @yaneerbaryam. No distractions. Clear information, no BS.
We can do this. And if we collectively don& #39;t, I know what to do for my family and place. But I want America to win too.
I& #39;ll add to this in replies. #nodistractions
We can do this. And if we collectively don& #39;t, I know what to do for my family and place. But I want America to win too.
I& #39;ll add to this in replies. #nodistractions
