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1/7 Thoughts on Ramaphosa& #39;s speech last night: "We are committed ... to be transparent, to take the nation into confidence". Why then is the NCC/Govt not releasing the data and the models used to determine the progression of the pandemic in SA? #CoronaVirusSA
2/7 The president talks about the experts and models they are using but seems determined to keep that data hidden. Open data fosters open debate and that& #39;s what we need now. More transparency, not less. #CoronaVirusSA
3/7 If transparency is the objective why are provincial governments not being mandated to release provincial and regional data publicly? Make it compulsory that provinces report regularly and consistently to their citizens. #CoronaVirusSA
4/7 Based on the infection data provided by govt there& #39;s no obvious reason NC, LP, MP, NW, and FS provinces should be at level 4 or even level 3. Unless of course there is no confidence in the testing/infection data coming from those provinces? #CoronaVirusSA
5/7 The public data available from these provinces reporting very low infection/death rates is also limited (sometimes non-existent) so there is no way to know if the numbers are in fact real or heavily under-reported. #CoronaVirusSA
6/7 And using this chart to show the lockdown has worked is disingenuous. Before lockdown testing was limited to high-risk cases and had started to decrease before the lockdown took effect. That was to be expected based on the number of tests and risk profile of those tested.
7/7 We also know that it can take many days before tests results are returned. To imply that infection numbers dropped suddenly following lockdown is very clearly a misrepresentation. For more on this see: http://coronavirus.mediahack.co.za/2020/04/20/relationship-between-tests-and-confirmed-cases">https://coronavirus.mediahack.co.za/2020/04/2...
And 1 more: To be clear, not suggesting the lockdown hasn& #39;t had an effect or is unnecessary, just that that chart is a crude misrepresentation of the data and to suggest the infections literally dropped post lockdown is false.
