Thread: Facts about Covid-19 with Sources
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@naval @saifedean @RealJamesWoods @AlexBerenson @ScottAdamsSays @michaeljburry
According to data from the best-studied countries and regions, the lethality of Covid19 is on average about 0.2%, which is in the range of a severe influenza (flu) and about twenty times lower than originally assumed by the WHO.
https://swprs.org/studies-on-covid-19-lethality/ http://ebm-netzwerk.de/en/publications/covid-19
https://swprs.org/studies-on-covid-19-lethality/ http://ebm-netzwerk.de/en/publications/covid-19
Even in the global “hotspots”, the risk of death for the general population of school and working age is typically in the range of a daily car ride to work. The risk was initially overestimated because many people with only mild or no symptoms. http://medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.04.20053058v1
Up to 80% of all test-positive persons remain symptom-free. Even among 70-79 year olds, about 60% remain symptom-free. Over 95% of all persons show mild symptoms at most.
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1375
https://www.niid.go.jp/niid/en/2019-ncov-e/9407-covid-dp-fe-01.html
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1375
https://www.niid.go.jp/niid/en/2019-ncov-e/9407-covid-dp-fe-01.html
The median or average age of the deceased in most countries (including Italy) is over 80 years and only about 1% of the deceased had no serious preconditions. The age and risk profile of deaths thus essentially corresponds to normal mortality. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-18/99-of-those-who-died-from-virus-had-other-illness-italy-says
In most Western countries, 50 to 70% of all extra deaths occurred in nursing homes, which do not benefit from a general lockdown. Moreover, in many cases it is not clear whether these people really died from Covid19 or from extreme stress, fear and loneliness
Good thread about this here via @kerpen https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1250759687592706050?s=20