I guess it is offensive to the part of our brains that wants to construct narratives out of things, but it seems pretty clear that there’s a healthy dose of randomness involved in big Covid outbreaks.
I used this analogy before, but:
Driving home from the bar after a few drinks is an irresponsible and unwise risk, but it’s still more likely than not that you’ll make it home safe any given time you try.
Driving home from the bar after a few drinks is an irresponsible and unwise risk, but it’s still more likely than not that you’ll make it home safe any given time you try.