The death toll being so much worse in rich countries than poor ones is definitely not what I was expecting in late February / early March. https://twitter.com/Pinboard/status/1260515402200649728

I also wouldn’t say anything too definitive about this — Latin America seemed to be in pretty good shape but now over the past ten days it looks like a lot of Latin American countries are getting bad outbreaks.

There are factors at play here we don’t really understand.