1. ZANU is 5 steps ahead of MDC. Remember the 2013 Maputo SADC conference. Bob knew that MDC was ill-prepared for elections but at the same time didn't want to appear condescending to SADC. He probably asked homeboy Jealousy Mawarire & Chidyausiku to tie him mbiradzakondo
2. We had an entourage of protestors and we spent the whole 2 days spewing vitriol at Madhuku for his legal stance that elections shld not be postponed. At the conference, Bob just said; "I agree we are not ready but we cannot defy the Supreme court ruling" We were not prepared
3. Right now ZANU knows Chamisa has just 3 options.
i) Comply & capitulate to Khupe
ii) Wallow in denial
iii) Resist
It is no coincidence that the judgement came during covid lockdown. They will extend restrictions until Chamisa is totally annihilated.
4. If MDC Alliance MPs do not switch to Khupe this week, they will all be withdrawn. By-elections will happen and most probably ZANU PF will not contest or they will do it halfheartedly. The goal will be to push for a complete fissure of MDC. A weaker opposition is what they need
5. MDC-T will still have proportional rep Senators etc. MDC Alliance will probably win most of the seats but will come back to parliament with significantly less MPs. ED will then go into a GNU with the Khupe faction. They have 2 thirds majority already & will extend ED's tenure
6. Like I said, Doug already made political suicide, I am not sure what his end-game is but I guess a Prime Minister or Ministerial position in a GNU cld be enticing. Or maybe he believes, Khupe has an upper hand.. playing along & wrestling power at congress will scupper the GNU.
7. So what if he does that? He goes to congress, beats Khupe, refuses a GNU with ED and then enters into talks with Chamisa to reunite everything? Would he still be a sellout? Again, I don't know what is going on... these are my thoughts.
8. All I can think of is, to beat ZANU PF we have to stop thinking & acting like goats on a tree. Beyond the noise on Twitter, leadership must start exploring how to wiggle out of this mbiradzakondo that the state has imposed on us... There are options!
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