Four must-see charts in the debate about COVID-19 modelling. Sweden's Dagens Nyheter looked at influential predictions on patients in intensive care (and the outcome) in the country without lockdown. The highest curve is for present Swedish strategy:
1) Gardner et al, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.11.20062133v1.full.pdf
2) Sjödin et al, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.20.20039594v2.full.pdf
3) Worst case planning scenario from the Swedish Public Health Agency.
4) What really happened, so far.
The article (in Swedish) is here: http://dn.se/nyheter/vetenskap/modellerna-visar-hur-svart-det-ar-att-rakna-pa-en-pandemi/
Modellerna visar hur svårt det är att räkna på en pandemi - DN.SE

Två uppmärksammade beräkningsmodeller förutsade enorma vårdbehov och tiotusentals döda i covid-19.

http://dn.se/nyheter/vetenskap/modellerna-visar-hur-svart-det-ar-att-rakna-pa-en-pandemi/
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