Read on Twitter
1/ it’s been about a week since I last posted a thread analyzing Oregon’s case numbers
I’ve collated my Oregon data threads, along w my other #COVID19 related #tweetorials about #periopmedicine , into this twitter moment: https://twitter.com/i/moments/1259256397444681729
I’ve collated my Oregon data threads, along w my other #COVID19 related #tweetorials about #periopmedicine , into this twitter moment: https://twitter.com/i/moments/1259256397444681729
2/ I’ve expressed hopeful optimism in past data-analysis threads about how Oregon appears to be successfully flattening the curve or that we entered a plateau
alas, I am less optimistic based on the last week’s worth of data
As the figures will show, cases are not decreasing…
alas, I am less optimistic based on the last week’s worth of data
As the figures will show, cases are not decreasing…
3/ in this thread, I also want to highlight the patterns that continue to emerge in terms of racial and socioeconomic disparities with COVID-19 cases in Oregon
I’ll also post more local-level reporting, as there has been some excellent journalism
I’ll also post more local-level reporting, as there has been some excellent journalism
4/ I’m always looking for new sources & found this website today
https://covidtracking.com/
They also give our data quality grades—info here:
A+ data quality for Oregon!
https://covidtracking.com/about-data#state-data-quality-grades
https://covidtracking.com/
They also give our data quality grades—info here:
A+ data quality for Oregon!
https://covidtracking.com/about-data#state-data-quality-grades
5/ We also learned this week that most cases in Oregon can be traced to spread through New York, NOT our neighboring state to the North
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/07/us/new-york-city-coronavirus-outbreak.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/07/us/new-york-city-coronavirus-outbreak.html
6/ so let’s talk total numbers
Oregon crossed the 3000 case mark this week
127 deaths
@OHAOregon now includes presumptive cases in daily tallies
Hospitalizations are down, but cases remain plateaued to increasing daily...
https://public.tableau.com/profile/oregon.health.authority.covid.19#!/vizhome/OregonHealthAuthorityCOVID-19DataDashboard/COVID-19EPIConfirmed?:display_count=y&:toolbar=n&:origin=viz_share_link&:showShareOptions=false
Oregon crossed the 3000 case mark this week
127 deaths
@OHAOregon now includes presumptive cases in daily tallies
Hospitalizations are down, but cases remain plateaued to increasing daily...
https://public.tableau.com/profile/oregon.health.authority.covid.19#!/vizhome/OregonHealthAuthorityCOVID-19DataDashboard/COVID-19EPIConfirmed?:display_count=y&:toolbar=n&:origin=viz_share_link&:showShareOptions=false
7/ in terms of what is being reported...
today: 79 confirmed new cases, 13 presumptive
5/8: 75 confirmed, 5 presumptive
5/7: 70 confirmed, 3 presumptive
5/6: 70 confirmed, 7 presumptive
5/5: 72 confirmed, 8 presumptive
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/
today: 79 confirmed new cases, 13 presumptive
5/8: 75 confirmed, 5 presumptive
5/7: 70 confirmed, 3 presumptive
5/6: 70 confirmed, 7 presumptive
5/5: 72 confirmed, 8 presumptive
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/
8/ nursing homes continue to be hit hard, and older Oregons are also significantly affected
https://www.oregon.gov/oha/PH/DISEASESCONDITIONS/DISEASESAZ/Emerging%20Respitory%20Infections/COVID-19-Weekly-Report-2020-05-05-FINAL.pdf
https://www.oregon.gov/oha/PH/DISEASESCONDITIONS/DISEASESAZ/Emerging%20Respitory%20Infections/COVID-19-Weekly-Report-2020-05-05-FINAL.pdf
9/ Oregon is looking to May 15th to start “opening up” in a very metered approach w clear criteria. Many of Oregon’s 36 counties (now 23) have applied to reopen then—reading the documentation submitted is actually really interesting (links in article) https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2020/05/these-oregon-counties-want-to-lift-coronavirus-stay-home-orders-read-their-plans.html
10/ These counties are rural, though some include larger population centers, like Deschutes County (Bend) and Lane County (Eugene, home to UofO)
Some counties have zero cases but have small total N (Lake population ~8000, Wheeler < 1500, Gilliam <2000)
https://www.bendbulletin.com/central-oregon-covid-19-case-count/article_e6aef60e-6ae6-11ea-b3c8-239ab1e74769.html
Some counties have zero cases but have small total N (Lake population ~8000, Wheeler < 1500, Gilliam <2000)
https://www.bendbulletin.com/central-oregon-covid-19-case-count/article_e6aef60e-6ae6-11ea-b3c8-239ab1e74769.html
11/ however some rural counties are also seeing a big jump in cases...
Source: http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-by-your-locations/
Source: http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-by-your-locations/
12/ example, the large weekly rise in cases in Clatsop County (almost 300% increase) is driven by this cluster
(For reference, Clatsop is the most NW Co. in state, on Pacific at the mouth of the Columbia River) https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2020/05/coronavirus-cases-at-astoria-seafood-plan-rise-to-26.html
(For reference, Clatsop is the most NW Co. in state, on Pacific at the mouth of the Columbia River) https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2020/05/coronavirus-cases-at-astoria-seafood-plan-rise-to-26.html
13/ But not all rural counties are ready to reopen, and indeed, some are actively telling tourisms and weekend day-trippers to stay away—especially with 80+ degree temps
Cannon Beach is also in Clatsop County... https://www.wweek.com/outdoors/2020/05/08/cannon-beach-and-hood-river-do-not-want-to-see-any-portlanders-this-weekend/
Cannon Beach is also in Clatsop County... https://www.wweek.com/outdoors/2020/05/08/cannon-beach-and-hood-river-do-not-want-to-see-any-portlanders-this-weekend/
14/ Oregon is no exception to the thread in seeing disparities in who covid19 is disproportionately affecting...
“White people make up 69 percent of Multnomah County’s population, but only 51 percent of coronavirus cases.“
Portland is in Multnomah Co. https://www.pdxmonthly.com/news-and-city-life/2020/05/coronavirus-takes-a-heavy-toll-on-minority-communities-oregon-data-shows
“White people make up 69 percent of Multnomah County’s population, but only 51 percent of coronavirus cases.“
Portland is in Multnomah Co. https://www.pdxmonthly.com/news-and-city-life/2020/05/coronavirus-takes-a-heavy-toll-on-minority-communities-oregon-data-shows
15/ 29% of cases are Hispanic patients, despite only being about 13% of state population. This is up from 27% a couple of weeks ago
To pull forward striking paragraphs from the PDX monthly article I just linked to...
To pull forward striking paragraphs from the PDX monthly article I just linked to...
16/ with @OHAoregon releasing zip code-based data this week, we can also see how socioeconomic disparities are associated with more cases
Ex. Less affluent neighborhoods have higher case rates https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2020/05/new-coronavirus-data-reveal-oregon-neighborhoods-with-most-infections.html
Ex. Less affluent neighborhoods have higher case rates https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2020/05/new-coronavirus-data-reveal-oregon-neighborhoods-with-most-infections.html
17/ Marion Co has been hit hard—incl 37 today (biggest 1 day jump for any county)
w/in the county, Woodburn’s population is about half Latino, nearly 2x county average
Marion Co has had 2nd highest RATE of infections, and now has 2nd highest N https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2020/05/see-how-coronavirus-has-spread-in-oregon-counties-marion-county-now-has-second-most-infections.html
w/in the county, Woodburn’s population is about half Latino, nearly 2x county average
Marion Co has had 2nd highest RATE of infections, and now has 2nd highest N https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2020/05/see-how-coronavirus-has-spread-in-oregon-counties-marion-county-now-has-second-most-infections.html
18/ merging the “how/when to reopen” question w disparities, front line service industry workers are likely to be negatively effected when we “reopen”…AND be people of color… https://www.wweek.com/news/2020/05/06/frontline-workers-need-their-jobs-the-most-theyre-also-the-most-likely-to-get-sick-when-the-state-reopens/
19/ looking at local journalism exploring other angles—this is a much appreciated article acknowledging the human component of all this
@drjessigold @jack_turban @DrPoorman @PoojaLakshmin @DrHowardLiu https://www.pdxmonthly.com/coronavirus/2020/04/the-collective-trauma-of-covid-19
@drjessigold @jack_turban @DrPoorman @PoojaLakshmin @DrHowardLiu https://www.pdxmonthly.com/coronavirus/2020/04/the-collective-trauma-of-covid-19
20/ @wweek has a beautiful and poignant series on the human stories of our experiences with covid-19 https://www.wweek.com/distant-voices/
21/ Finally, let’s end on some positive or “only in Oregon” news
first, VOTE BY MAIL is actively happening!
first, VOTE BY MAIL is actively happening!
22/ how did I miss this version of what Quarantine house are you in, and where is @Stormof69 ??
@DRsonosRD https://www.pdxmonthly.com/coronavirus/2020/04/choose-your-quarantine-house-portland
@DRsonosRD https://www.pdxmonthly.com/coronavirus/2020/04/choose-your-quarantine-house-portland
23/ tired of online streaming services? There may be a drive-through for that! https://www.pdxmonthly.com/arts-and-culture/2020/04/what-does-coronavirus-mean-for-oregons-drive-in-theaters
24/ I also think @OHAOregon tips for a safe Mothers Day in yesterday’s email was really thoughtful
(As was their acknowledgement that Mother’s Day can be difficult for some)
(As was their acknowledgement that Mother’s Day can be difficult for some)
25/ this is on the list of gifts you can have delivered to mom on Mother’s Day... https://www.pdxmonthly.com/arts-and-culture/2020/04/get-a-drag-queen-performance-delivered-to-your-house
26/FIN
in summary...
this isn’t over yet
Oregon’s #StayHomeSaveLives has done just that and protected healthcare resources
starting phased “re-opening” of the economy in Oregon is being done cautiously and steadily
racial and socioeconomicdisparities persist
in summary...
this isn’t over yetOregon’s #StayHomeSaveLives has done just that and protected healthcare resourcesstarting phased “re-opening” of the economy in Oregon is being done cautiously and steadilyracial and socioeconomicdisparities persist
