1/ it’s been about a week since I last posted a thread analyzing Oregon’s case numbers

I’ve collated my Oregon data threads, along w my other #COVID19 related #tweetorials about #periopmedicine , into this twitter moment: https://twitter.com/i/moments/1259256397444681729">https://twitter.com/i/moments...
2/ I’ve expressed hopeful optimism in past data-analysis threads about how Oregon appears to be successfully flattening the curve or that we entered a plateau

alas, I am less optimistic based on the last week’s worth of data

As the figures will show, cases are not decreasing…
3/ in this thread, I also want to highlight the patterns that continue to emerge in terms of racial and socioeconomic disparities with COVID-19 cases in Oregon

I’ll also post more local-level reporting, as there has been some excellent journalism
4/ I’m always looking for new sources & found this website today
https://covidtracking.com/ 

They">https://covidtracking.com/">... also give our data quality grades—info here:
A+ data quality for Oregon!

#state-data-quality-grades">https://covidtracking.com/about-data #state-data-quality-grades">https://covidtracking.com/about-dat...
5/ We also learned this week that most cases in Oregon can be traced to spread through New York, NOT our neighboring state to the North
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/07/us/new-york-city-coronavirus-outbreak.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/0...
6/ so let’s talk total numbers

Oregon crossed the 3000 case mark this week
127 deaths

@OHAOregon now includes presumptive cases in daily tallies

Hospitalizations are down, but cases remain plateaued to increasing daily...

https://public.tableau.com/profile/oregon.health.authority.covid.19#!/vizhome/OregonHealthAuthorityCOVID-19DataDashboard/COVID-19EPIConfirmed?:display_count=y&:toolbar=n&:origin=viz_share_link&:showShareOptions=false">https://public.tableau.com/profile/o...
7/ in terms of what is being reported...

today: 79 confirmed new cases, 13 presumptive
5/8: 75 confirmed, 5 presumptive
5/7: 70 confirmed, 3 presumptive
5/6: 70 confirmed, 7 presumptive
5/5: 72 confirmed, 8 presumptive
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
8/ nursing homes continue to be hit hard, and older Oregons are also significantly affected
https://www.oregon.gov/oha/PH/DISEASESCONDITIONS/DISEASESAZ/Emerging%20Respitory%20Infections/COVID-19-Weekly-Report-2020-05-05-FINAL.pdf">https://www.oregon.gov/oha/PH/DI...
10/ These counties are rural, though some include larger population centers, like Deschutes County (Bend) and Lane County (Eugene, home to UofO)

Some counties have zero cases but have small total N (Lake population ~8000, Wheeler < 1500, Gilliam <2000)
https://www.bendbulletin.com/central-oregon-covid-19-case-count/article_e6aef60e-6ae6-11ea-b3c8-239ab1e74769.html">https://www.bendbulletin.com/central-o...
11/ however some rural counties are also seeing a big jump in cases...

Source: http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-by-your-locations/">https://91-divoc.com/pages/cov...
14/ Oregon is no exception to the thread in seeing disparities in who covid19 is disproportionately affecting...

“White people make up 69 percent of Multnomah County’s population, but only 51 percent of coronavirus cases.“

Portland is in Multnomah Co. https://www.pdxmonthly.com/news-and-city-life/2020/05/coronavirus-takes-a-heavy-toll-on-minority-communities-oregon-data-shows">https://www.pdxmonthly.com/news-and-...
15/ 29% of cases are Hispanic patients, despite only being about 13% of state population. This is up from 27% a couple of weeks ago

To pull forward striking paragraphs from the PDX monthly article I just linked to...
20/ @wweek has a beautiful and poignant series on the human stories of our experiences with covid-19 https://www.wweek.com/distant-voices/ ">https://www.wweek.com/distant-v...
21/ Finally, let’s end on some positive or “only in Oregon” news

first, VOTE BY MAIL is actively happening!
24/ I also think @OHAOregon tips for a safe Mothers Day in yesterday’s email was really thoughtful

(As was their acknowledgement that Mother’s Day can be difficult for some)
26/FIN
in summary...

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦠" title="Microbe" aria-label="Emoji: Microbe">this isn’t over yet
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦠" title="Microbe" aria-label="Emoji: Microbe">Oregon’s #StayHomeSaveLives has done just that and protected healthcare resources
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦠" title="Microbe" aria-label="Emoji: Microbe">starting phased “re-opening” of the economy in Oregon is being done cautiously and steadily
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦠" title="Microbe" aria-label="Emoji: Microbe">racial and socioeconomicdisparities persist
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