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For a supposed journalist, you're pretty flippant on throwing out serious accusations.
I cited him EUROMOMO excess mortality stats, which he ignored and countered they are being fed by FG.
EUROMOMO is funded by WHO and ECDC, Ewan, not FG. https://twitter.com/EwanMacKenna/status/1259168958072131586
I cited him EUROMOMO excess mortality stats, which he ignored and countered they are being fed by FG.
EUROMOMO is funded by WHO and ECDC, Ewan, not FG. https://twitter.com/EwanMacKenna/status/1259168958072131586
The 5 esteemed Epidemiologists who coordinate EuroMOMO are all from Denmark and you're impugning their character with these nutso bizarre allegations that FG feed them numbers to feed to me to quote on twitter dot com.
I'll recap my assertions for you:
I'll recap my assertions for you:
1. Excess mortality is the only accurate comparison between countries.
Literally every expert agrees on this. Why?
Because there's dozens of ways to classify and count covid19 deaths but only one way to count deaths, which every European country must register the same way.
Literally every expert agrees on this. Why?
Because there's dozens of ways to classify and count covid19 deaths but only one way to count deaths, which every European country must register the same way.
By analyzing excess mortality to previous years, you get a true picture of how a response went.
If WAY MORE people died than expected from previous years that indicates a poor response - because a pandemic response is about protecting the overall population health. That's it.
If WAY MORE people died than expected from previous years that indicates a poor response - because a pandemic response is about protecting the overall population health. That's it.
Here are the current excess death Z-scores for Western Europe, March 30th to April 5th:
Week 14:
England: +34.77
Spain: +34.59
Belgium: +26.75
Holland: +24.18
France: +21.77
Portugal: +5.39
Ireland: +2.23
Week 14:
England: +34.77
Spain: +34.59
Belgium: +26.75
Holland: +24.18
France: +21.77
Portugal: +5.39
Ireland: +2.23
Some limitations with Z-scores right now, namely the median length of time to register deaths varies. In Ireland, it's 18 days but the average is longer.
So all of those scores are subject to upward revision and in fact Ireland's +2.23 is already an upward revision.
However:
So all of those scores are subject to upward revision and in fact Ireland's +2.23 is already an upward revision.
However:
There is no scenario, none, where we get revised above any of those countries for Week 14.
Ireland has objectively the lowest excess mortality for that week and those trends are rock solid throughout the pandemic weeks.
Ireland has objectively the lowest excess mortality for that week and those trends are rock solid throughout the pandemic weeks.
Now maybe you missed my tweet seeing as you're not a fan of reading but I've multiple times stated my opinion that *all* political parties in Ireland would have done a good job in the pandemic response because it is society driven and Irish people are a bunch of good eggs.
For a supposed journalist, you're pretty fucking blasé about implying world renowned Danish Epidemiologists are on FG's payroll, feeding me (publicly available) stats.
I just wrote a 2,500 word positive review of Normal People, Hulu didn't pay me to write it either.
I just wrote a 2,500 word positive review of Normal People, Hulu didn't pay me to write it either.
I write my threads because I'm an insomniac with no friends if you must know and I enjoy keeping my mind healthy especially as I've no mirtazapine left right now.
I like researching stuff, forming educated opinions and talking about them.
Basically the opposite of you.
I like researching stuff, forming educated opinions and talking about them.
Basically the opposite of you.
Sorry that it offends you that I think Ireland are doing well but we can't all sit in Portugal or Brazil moaning about Ireland 24/7 on an obscure podcast, some of us live here - and love here.
I'd go steady on defaming world renowned experts if I were you but what do I know.
I'd go steady on defaming world renowned experts if I were you but what do I know.
