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There's a lot to say about newly released projections for #COVID19 in the USA. I'll be talking about it on @NewsHour tonight. But let's take a look at some of the stark, terrible new data and forecasts.
First, new infection rates will soar in May/June, hitting 3K/day.
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First, new infection rates will soar in May/June, hitting 3K/day.
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The new case projections put great increases across the Prairie States, from the Dakotas down to the Deep South. Much of the US #COVID19 crisis will shift from NY/NY/CA/WA urban centers to rural counties, where healthcare is scarce.
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The new case projections put great increases across the Prairie States, from the Dakotas down to the Deep South. Much of the US #COVID19 crisis will shift from NY/NY/CA/WA urban centers to rural counties, where healthcare is scarce.
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It is quite striking how closely the @CDCgov projections for increased #COVID19 cases mirror the locations of America's meatpacking industry, which is currently slammed by COVID spread.
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https://thefern.org/2020/04/mapping-covid-19-in-meat-and-food-processing-plants/
It is quite striking how closely the @CDCgov projections for increased #COVID19 cases mirror the locations of America's meatpacking industry, which is currently slammed by COVID spread.
MORE
https://thefern.org/2020/04/mapping-covid-19-in-meat-and-food-processing-plants/
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The new @CDCgov forecast also shows surges ahead in areas that have reported #COVID19 outbreaks in nursing homes.
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/04/17/nursing-home-coronavirus-deaths/?arc404=true
The new @CDCgov forecast also shows surges ahead in areas that have reported #COVID19 outbreaks in nursing homes.
MORE
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/04/17/nursing-home-coronavirus-deaths/?arc404=true
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The new @CDCgov projections show a marked increase in deaths forecast for #COVID19 -- again, across the Prairie States and into the Deep South -- areas where many Governors are relaxing #lockdown measures.
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The new @CDCgov projections show a marked increase in deaths forecast for #COVID19 -- again, across the Prairie States and into the Deep South -- areas where many Governors are relaxing #lockdown measures.
MORE
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The leaked @CDCgov grim forecasts coincide w/release of adjusted @IHME reckonings, nearly doubling estimated death toll by the end of June to 135,000 Americans.
MORE https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/us-coronavirus-update-05-04-20/h_18a3fa30e62fa417f6402308aaf3c55b
The leaked @CDCgov grim forecasts coincide w/release of adjusted @IHME reckonings, nearly doubling estimated death toll by the end of June to 135,000 Americans.
MORE https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/us-coronavirus-update-05-04-20/h_18a3fa30e62fa417f6402308aaf3c55b
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While the underlying data & assumptions used by the groups aren't yet public, it seems that prior reckonings grossly underest'ed the scale of focused outbreaks in meatpacking, assisted living centers, prisons, & the likelihood of community #COVID19 spread frm those facilities.
While the underlying data & assumptions used by the groups aren't yet public, it seems that prior reckonings grossly underest'ed the scale of focused outbreaks in meatpacking, assisted living centers, prisons, & the likelihood of community #COVID19 spread frm those facilities.
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IHME says:
"We, collectively, are now entering a new phase of the #COVID19 #pandemic. More locations are easing previously implemented social distancing policies, & human mobility patterns are trending upward – even in places where distancing measures remain in place." MORE
IHME says:
"We, collectively, are now entering a new phase of the #COVID19 #pandemic. More locations are easing previously implemented social distancing policies, & human mobility patterns are trending upward – even in places where distancing measures remain in place." MORE
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"Testing has scaled up in many parts of the world, but such progress has been uneven and is not keeping pace with the growing demand for lifting business & gathering restrictions."
MORE http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
"Testing has scaled up in many parts of the world, but such progress has been uneven and is not keeping pace with the growing demand for lifting business & gathering restrictions."
MORE http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
