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I can make a perfectly logical proposition about a Trump victory over Biden actually saving lives.
I do not endorse it but it's rational and quite rooted in political reality. https://twitter.com/mtsw/status/1254505242281959424
I do not endorse it but it's rational and quite rooted in political reality. https://twitter.com/mtsw/status/1254505242281959424
There ARE only two options on the ballot if Biden wins the primary, which he very very likely will:
Trump or Biden wins the presidency. Those are the options.
There are two generational issues ahead of us. Climate change and this pandemic.
Trump or Biden wins the presidency. Those are the options.
There are two generational issues ahead of us. Climate change and this pandemic.
The pandemic is the easy one.
Whoever wins, the odds are good, though not even close to guaranteed, that Republicans will maintain control of the senate.
If that happens, Biden will be shut down by McConnell for 10 months at least. They know it will defeat his core brand.
Whoever wins, the odds are good, though not even close to guaranteed, that Republicans will maintain control of the senate.
If that happens, Biden will be shut down by McConnell for 10 months at least. They know it will defeat his core brand.
So of the four scenarios with senate and presidential control, Dem Senate with Trump, and Rep Senate with Trump both mean people get money and supplies, albeit in the gross manner we've seen thus far likely.
With a Biden win, he needs the senate or it's a shut down.
With a Biden win, he needs the senate or it's a shut down.
So of the 4 scenarios, Trump's wins yield material support to people dying regardless of senate control, Biden's requires Dem control.
Climate change: I'm not an accelerationist, but it's absolutely true that the failure of 2016 weakened the Democratic party's elite but strengthened the base and the far left in terms of activism.
That hasn't been seen electorally until we saw the entire party apparatus slam the door on Sanders. In any year where it wasn't a far left person running, winning the first three primaries popular votes would make you seen as the unequivocal good and destined choice.
It's possible the only scenario in which we can meet Climate deadlines is a repeat of the 2016 failure. Not because the party 'will learn' but because grassroots organizing will continue to rise in power until they basically have enough power to control the parties legitimacy.
It doesn't matter if Trump's "Climate Change" plan is worse than Biden's structurally if Biden's still not going to hit deadlines and waste 8 years, slowing down the cascading effects of Climate change to a 'manageable' level is do or die, there's no reward for getting 'close'.
Trump could die tomorrow of eating too many fish filets, but Trump's voters would be there and there'd be some other craven version of him waiting to pick up his mantle.
Now personally, I don't believe a Trump win would be 'better'.
Ironically it's because I'm insanely negative at this point and confident that climate change won't ever be slowed and we'll basically get to watch the horror of climate refugees and war tear the world apart.
Ironically it's because I'm insanely negative at this point and confident that climate change won't ever be slowed and we'll basically get to watch the horror of climate refugees and war tear the world apart.
So with that in mind, the real question is 'who has the possibility to make the suffering better in small useless ways because that's inherently good', and in that context a Republican presidency sets us up to be more able to killing refugees when the time comes, and I hate that.
My acknowledgement of Biden being 'better' in the context of a forced GE against Trump literally starts with the premise a few billion people will die over the next few decades and I'd rather we be less ready and capable of gunning the ones who reach our shores down.
There's absolutely a justifiable 'from the left' reasoning, based ENTIRELY on realpolitik risk mitigation, that you can use to see virtue in a Trump win. I'm not that craven and the "option C" of the unknown is larger than that worldview leaves credit for, but it's not illogical.
