Act I: Donald Trump withdraws from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, in which Iran agreed to give up all work that could lead to nuclear weapons. https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/ceasing-u-s-participation-jcpoa-taking-additional-action-counter-irans-malign-influence-deny-iran-paths-nuclear-weapon/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/president...
Ceasing U.S. Participation in the JCPOA and Taking Additional Action to Counter Iran's Malign...

MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY OF STATE THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE THE ATTORNEY GENERAL THE SECRETARY OF ENERGY THE SECRETARY OF

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/ceasing-u-s-participation-jcpoa-taking-additional-action-counter-irans-malign-influence-deny-iran-paths-nuclear-weapon/
Experts warned that this withdrawal would give up leverage on Iran. https://twitter.com/james_acton32/status/1140956088906465280">https://twitter.com/james_act...
Act II: The remaining members of the JCPOA stay with it and try to make it work. The US begins "maximum pressure," reinstating sanctions that Donald Trump and Mike Pompeo believe will make Iran bend to their will.

Iran does not bend to their will.
Act III: Trump and Pompeo say nevermind, the US has been in the JCPOA all along and, since Iran has not bent to their will, they will invoke the snapback provisions that experts told them they were giving up by leaving the JCPOA. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/26/world/middleeast/us-iran-nuclear-deal-pompeo.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/2...
To Pressure Iran, Pompeo Turns to the Deal Trump Renounced

The secretary of state is preparing an argument that the U.S. remains a participant in the Obama-era nuclear deal, with the goal of extending an arms embargo or destroying the accord.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/26/world/middleeast/us-iran-nuclear-deal-pompeo.html
https://twitter.com/Popehat/status/1254541893980975104">https://twitter.com/Popehat/s...
Trump& #39;s and Pompeo& #39;s bullying didn& #39;t work. Iran took very measured, reversible steps relative to the JCPOA to indicate they were not to be cowed. Trump and Pompeo murdered an Iranian general. Iran hit back, but not excessively.
But Trump and Pompeo are desperate not to look like fools. (Spoiler: Too late!) So they have dreamed up this scheme. Seems silly to be pressing this in the middle of a pandemic that Trump has allowed to get out of control in the US, but here we are.
https://twitter.com/lrozen/status/1254545677700530177">https://twitter.com/lrozen/st...
I honestly don& #39;t know. I would make Act IV be a presentation of this measure to the UN Security Council, have Pompeo laughed out, and then the US turns around and recognize the mistakes that have been made.

But that& #39;s not going to happen.
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