1/ Modifying a phrase from the game Portal:
"The date is a lie."

One headline yesterday read:
"Colorado deaths increase by 22%"

Reports and dashboards said 120 people died in Colorado yesterday!

That's a lie. Only 2 did.

Big h/t to @co_hurricane for tracking this!
2/ The first chart shows the number of deaths each day and the second chart shows the same data but with a "running total." This is how much of your data is collected.

And where does the data from? Why from screenshots of course.

See that big jump 2 days ago?
3/ The good folks at @COVID19Tracking do great work but they're beholden to data as it comes in.

They take screenshot 1 with deaths of 552 and compare it to screenshot 2 of 672 deaths = 120 dead!

Here's the problem: 120 did not die in Colorado from #COVID19 yesterday.

2 did.
4/ If I saw that MY state had 120 deaths overnight - I'd freak out and so would you.

Luckily for us - about 3 days ago Colorado started putting out data by ACTUAL DEATH DATE.

Let's look at ACTUAL DATE vs. REPORTED DATE
5/ The blue bars are the number of people who are died of #COVID19 according to THEIR ACTUAL DEATH CERTIFICATE.

Think about it logically. When someone dies at a hospice, you notify the next of kin, notify the county, which notifies the state.

And finally the screenbot finds it.
6/ 3 days ago we showed you how in Pennsylvania one big burst of deaths was WEEKS late in reporting because of some cover -up at a VA hospice.

That is shameful and it's happening all over the county: https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1253363061680861184?s=20
Yesterday we showed you how the PA Department of Health was caught in a serious lie and to rescind 200 deaths. https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1253945237585555457
7/ So where did those 120 deaths come from.

Oh those are real deaths (or at least WIDE-latitude counted deaths from #COVID19) but they had to layer them back into the past.

So on March 20th the dashboards told us only 3 people died. 20 people actually died on that day.
8/ On April 8th the dashboards noted that 13 people died, 33 did.

And that was the high mark.

To date: Colorado has experience no more that 36 deaths in a single day.
9/ We've created a monster. By mandating a reporting cadence which mirrors our elections we've created the perception of hanging chads and backroom ballots. Some of shenanigans are very real and very costly.

What's more costly? Our lazy reporters failing to press for the actuals
10/ How do I know that only 2 died? well they just updated stats

If you're in Colorado you should know that you're state is 100% read to re-open.

You should press every reporter and every politician to go by the ACTUAL DEATH DATE instead of what some bot tells you.
11/ To tie a few things together in case it wasn't clear above... because there are certain deaths that weren't reported in the past they update those #s but all the dashboards see are total updated deaths.

If you think this is crazy. Just wait until we get to testing dates!
You can follow @justin_hart.
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