Very important thread & reflects my experience as a data developer/scientist for markets of how dishonest/misuse of data to reflect incorrect views/desired agendas works

Dr. Dan Ericksen/Armin Massihi go into expert/important detail re #covid19 data

h/t @auc_bakersfield /1

This will be a v long thread its with respect & humility that I put it together inspired by courage of these 2 Doctors to BUCK THE EMOTIONAL GROUPTHINK PRESSURE COOKER & try to help people + the country which is more than I can say for any of politicians

h/t @auc_bakersfield /2

I have organized all the video segments into neat and easy to read and understand cuts that you can easily reference, retweet or use

h/t @auc_bakersfield /3

Does this make sense? Is the USA and its leadership “Following the Science” as they keep saying?

h/t @auc_bakersfield /4

Hospitals are shutting down floors and volumes have crashed as FEAR becomes the real pandemic

h/t @auc_bakersfield /5

People are not coming in for treatments for real ailments, chronic conditions or critical care issues because of FEAR of COVID

h/t @auc_bakersfield /6

The initial response by the USA was appropriate and prudent given having a perceived vacuum of facts/information. BUT USE DECIDED TO CONTINUE TO QUARANTINE THE HEALTHY WHICH GOES AGAINST ESTABLISHED SCIENCE which dictates you QUARANTINE THE SICK

h/t @auc_bakersfield /7

Testing numbers from Kern County California indicate a widespread viral infection

h/t @auc_bakersfield /8

if you look at CA 12% of total tests have been positive for #coronavirus with 6.5% for Kern county done by @auc_bakersfield

h/t @auc_bakersfield /9

MILLIONS OF CASES - SMALL AMOUNT OF DEATHS that is the picture from the data across the USA and Globe

h/t @auc_bakersfield /10

Looking at New York State’s, who’s been in the news a lot and has a very large base of completed tests [mcm comment: paints a very different picture imo than the media or the government or Dr. Faucci

h/t @auc_bakersfield /11

This is a big one...lets look at the total data for USA ...over 4 million tests so far with 890,000+ positive cases...so widespread prevalence very similar to the seasonal flu but very low/lower death rates

h/t @auc_bakersfield /12

Comparing the USA to Spain because Spain is number 2 in the race for the most amount of cases

h/t @auc_bakersfield /13

Sweden...looking closely at their numbers and keep in mind that they did NOT implement a lockdown but rather prudent measures designed to allow the economy and life to continue to function

h/t @auc_bakersfield /14

Sweden’s neighbor Norway...a very similar Scandinavian country implemented lockdown here is a look at their data

h/t @auc_bakersfield /15

#covid19 is ONE aspect of the health system but there are secondary effects and especially policy induced secondary effects

h/t @auc_bakersfield /16

we are following the science

h/t @auc_bakersfield /17

Talk about the immune system and how it works and how it needs to be BUILT not weakened (as is happening now and is likely to see a wave 2 of other disease completely uninspired by #covid19)

h/t @auc_bakersfield /18

u can not build immunity or an immune system by isolating them (esp by isolating the healthy) SHELTERING IN PLACE DECREASES THE IMMUNE SYSTEM - END OF STORY and is doing that for massive amounts of people

this choice of action/policy DOES NOT MAKE SENSE

h/t @auc_bakersfield /19

data from the streets treating patients and building real data elements vs ivory towers...unfiltered and UNPOLITICAL DATA

h/t @auc_bakersfield /20

question: “Your interpretation of data is different from he top doctors in the world, why is that?”

answer: they DID NOT HAVE DATA THEY HAD THEORETICAL MODELS

h/t @auc_bakersfield /21

discussing #coronavirus
human transmissible coronavirus is new

‘new’ in medicine sparks fear/caution

we wouldve done what Dr Faucci did INITIALLY but looking at theories/models, which is what they are doing is not how the virus presents itself in communities/reality

/22

we are actually SEEING THE PATIENTS Dr. Faucci has not seen a patient in 20 years

h/t @auc_bakersfield /23

THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT AND YOU MUST WATCH IT (mcm comment it also reflect exactly what I have been saying just based on common sense scientific style thinking)

WHAT PEOPLE ARE DOING THAT THEY FEEL IS MAKING THEM SAFER IS ACTUALLY NOT INCREASING SAFETY

h/t @auc_bakersfield /24

“did they die from covid?” medical staff (and people generally) are not talking about other morbidities anymore as panic over #coronavirus increases

h/t @auc_bakersfield /25

WHY WOULD YOU QUARANTINE THE HEALTHY?

IT DOES NOT MAKE ANY SENSE

YOU ARE SUPPOSED TO QUARANTINE THE ILL AND INDIGENT

h/t @auc_bakersfield /26

25% of #covid19 patients are asymptomatic which is why we advocate for widespread testing

h/t @auc_bakersfield /27

[THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT/MUST WATCH/SHARE THIS the next stock market crisis will driven in part by this imo]

“when a country has been self isolating for 2 or 3 months I guarantee when we reopen there will be HUGE, HUGE amounts of disease

illness will be rampant”

/28

even if you look at biblical times...societies isolated the sick NOT THE HEALTHY - “this just does not make sense”

/29

there are two ways to get rid of a virus...

1. it burns itself out
2. you build herd immunity

humans have relied on this for hundreds of years. Viruses kill people and for the rest of us we develop herd immunity

h/t @auc_bakersfield /30

question: ‘do you think its safe to lift the lock down’

answer: ‘yes yes...I am outside with no mask’

answer: ‘yes, slowly at first but yes’

h/t @auc_bakersfield /31

when you self isolate for 2 to 3 months you lose your normal flora ‘herd immunity’

h/t @auc_bakersfield /32

do we need to shelter in place? emphatically no

do we need to shutdown business? emphatically no

do we need to reopen and test? YES!

h/t @auc_bakersfield /33

when you are going to dance on somebody’s constitutional rights you need to have a good reason - a REALLY GOOD SCIENTIFIC REASON and not just a theory

h/t @auc_bakersfield /34

we need to get furloughed doctors and nurses back because when we lift this thing - hospitals have closed down entire floors - when you lift we are setting ourselves up to have minimal medical staff & significant disease - NOT A SITUATION YOU WANT

h/t @auc_bakersfield /35

unless you grab people by force from their home...they are scared they are problems with their diabetes and they won’t come in are they going to come in for a test? NOT ON YOUR LIFE

h/t @auc_bakersfield /36

‘we do the majority of testing for kern county. we can handle a lot more but we are seeing half our normal volumes’

h/t @auc_bakersfield /37

if you have NO SYMPTOMS YOU SHOULD BE AT WORK AND ABLE TO GO BACK TO WORK

h/t @auc_bakersfield /38

I can sit in a penthouse on the 47th floor and say ‘you should to this and this and this’ Dr. Faucci has not seen a patient in 20 years - that is not realistic

h/t @auc_bakersfield /39

Widespread testing is in competition with people being too scared to come to a facility to get tested - its a big impediment

h/t @auc_bakersfield /40

do we need to shelter in place? does that even make sense based on the science on micro biology/immunology? should we continue to base decisions on models that have been proven to be woefully inaccurate?

h/t @auc_bakersfield /41

they were screaming for 30,000 ventilators and they only used 5,000. by the time you are on a ventilator you are in bad shape and 80 to 90% of people on them die

h/t @auc_bakersfield /42

the statistical difference between ‘lockdown and no lockdown’ is insignificant which is why we discussed Sweden vs Norway

h/t @auc_bakersfield /43

Wind down discussion....now that we have the data we know 96 to 97% of people fully recover and 90 percent of the 4% that do not recover have significantly co-morbidities - 90%

h/t @auc_bakersfield /44

I will add a few more comment but that is the Majority, key and easy to navigate content from this most important discussion - one in which is 100% clear that the risks are increasing that an agenda is more likely than bad models is driving draconian authoritarian overreaches /45

I believe as I have said since February that none of this is about the virus but something much more dangerous entirely and of much greater impact to the amazing people and country that was the last bastion of freedom and liberty in the world... /46

IMO opinion this is what you get when you put BANKERS in charge of government and banking in the present form is endemically MARXIST and SOCIALIST at its very core - ITS NOT CAPITALISM PEOPLE and ITS NOT MONEY - credit is the preferred weapon of marxists/socialists /47