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@ActuaryByDay Thought I will give it a go as well.
UK went into lockdown on 23rd March it took nearly 3 weeks before admissions to critical care showed a downward trend. /1
UK went into lockdown on 23rd March it took nearly 3 weeks before admissions to critical care showed a downward trend. /1
Covid 19 data compared to viral pneumonia (17-19 data)
Men 72% (53%)
BAME 26% (9%)
No assistance with activities of daily living 93% (74%)
Severe comorbidities 8% (24%)
Mechanically ventilated in first 24 hours 67% (43%)
Overall mortality 51% (22%)
Men 72% (53%)
BAME 26% (9%)
No assistance with activities of daily living 93% (74%)
Severe comorbidities 8% (24%)
Mechanically ventilated in first 24 hours 67% (43%)
Overall mortality 51% (22%)
Organ support
30% Basic respiratory support
30% Advanced respiratory support
15% Advanced respiratory + advanced cardiovascular support
10% Advanced respiratory + renal support
10% Advanced respiratory + advanced cardiovascular + renal support
30% Basic respiratory support
30% Advanced respiratory support
15% Advanced respiratory + advanced cardiovascular support
10% Advanced respiratory + renal support
10% Advanced respiratory + advanced cardiovascular + renal support
Mortality
Higher mortality in men 53% v 44% in women
Higher mortality among BAME 57% v 48% White
Single organ advanced respiratory support 50%
2 organ support 75%
3 organ support 87%
Higher mortality in men 53% v 44% in women
Higher mortality among BAME 57% v 48% White
Single organ advanced respiratory support 50%
2 organ support 75%
3 organ support 87%
In summary this is highly infectious, highly virulent
If you don't want to be a casualty take precautions when the restrictions are lifted- think of social distancing, repeated hand-washing, avoiding contaminated areas, group etiquette, walking/cycling to work (if possible) etc.
If you don't want to be a casualty take precautions when the restrictions are lifted- think of social distancing, repeated hand-washing, avoiding contaminated areas, group etiquette, walking/cycling to work (if possible) etc.
