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(THREAD) Who wants to go over each party's biggest misses in the State Legislature so far? A miss here is essentially failing to contest a seat. This only covers states that have had their state legislative filings yet too. With that out of the way, let's get to it! (1/???)
ARIZONA:
Democrats House Miss: HD-12 in the Gilbert Area (Trump+24)
Republican House Miss: HD-30 in Phoenix (Clinton+30)
Democratic Senate Miss: SD-15 in Phoenix (Trump+17)
Republican Senate Miss: SD-09 in the Tucson area (Clinton+19)
Not really big misses yet!
Democrats House Miss: HD-12 in the Gilbert Area (Trump+24)
Republican House Miss: HD-30 in Phoenix (Clinton+30)
Democratic Senate Miss: SD-15 in Phoenix (Trump+17)
Republican Senate Miss: SD-09 in the Tucson area (Clinton+19)
Not really big misses yet!
ARKANSAS:
Democrats House Miss: HD-25 in Hot Springs (Trump+15)
Republican House Miss: HD-51 in West Memphis (Trump+11)
Democratic Senate Miss: SD-07 in the Springdale area (Trump+23)
Republican Senate Miss: None
Republicans didn't contest two Democratic/Trump districts!
Democrats House Miss: HD-25 in Hot Springs (Trump+15)
Republican House Miss: HD-51 in West Memphis (Trump+11)
Democratic Senate Miss: SD-07 in the Springdale area (Trump+23)
Republican Senate Miss: None
Republicans didn't contest two Democratic/Trump districts!
CALIFORNIA:
Democratic Assembly Miss: AD-38 in Santa Clarita (Clinton+5)
Republican Assembly Miss: AD-21 in Modesto/Merced (Clinton+15)
Democratic Senate Miss: None
Republican Senate Miss: SD-31 in Riverside (Clinton+20)
Top-two lockout in AD-38 means it's flipped red
Democratic Assembly Miss: AD-38 in Santa Clarita (Clinton+5)
Republican Assembly Miss: AD-21 in Modesto/Merced (Clinton+15)
Democratic Senate Miss: None
Republican Senate Miss: SD-31 in Riverside (Clinton+20)
Top-two lockout in AD-38 means it's flipped red
GEORGIA:
Democratic House Miss: HD-120 in the Athens area (Trump+18)
Republican House Miss: HD-177 in Valdosta (Clinton+6)
Democratic Senate Miss: SD-18 in the Macon area (Trump+25)
Republican Senate Miss: SD-33 in Cobb County (Clinton+26)
No real big misses here either
Democratic House Miss: HD-120 in the Athens area (Trump+18)
Republican House Miss: HD-177 in Valdosta (Clinton+6)
Democratic Senate Miss: SD-18 in the Macon area (Trump+25)
Republican Senate Miss: SD-33 in Cobb County (Clinton+26)
No real big misses here either
IDAHO:
Democratic House Miss: HD-04 in Coeur d'Alene (Trump+26)
Republican House Miss: HD-29 in Pocatello (Trump+10)
Democratic Senate Miss: SD-33 in Idaho Falls (Trump+27)
Republican Senate Miss: SD-29 in Pocatello (Trump+10)
Republicans didn't contest two Trump/Dem seats!
Democratic House Miss: HD-04 in Coeur d'Alene (Trump+26)
Republican House Miss: HD-29 in Pocatello (Trump+10)
Democratic Senate Miss: SD-33 in Idaho Falls (Trump+27)
Republican Senate Miss: SD-29 in Pocatello (Trump+10)
Republicans didn't contest two Trump/Dem seats!
ILLINOIS:
Dem House Miss: HD-52 in the Barrington area (Trump+3)
Rep House Miss: HD-112 in the STL Suburbs (Trump+6)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-37 in NW Illinois (Trump+22)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-34 in Rockford (Clinton+10)
Mostly missed districts in ancestral D/R areas
Dem House Miss: HD-52 in the Barrington area (Trump+3)
Rep House Miss: HD-112 in the STL Suburbs (Trump+6)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-37 in NW Illinois (Trump+22)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-34 in Rockford (Clinton+10)
Mostly missed districts in ancestral D/R areas
INDIANA:
Dem House Miss: HD-84 in Fort Wayne (Trump+29)
Rep House Miss: HD-08 in South Bend (Clinton+2)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-50 in Evansville (Trump+17)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-10 in South Bend (Clinton+25)
Nothing really major here, just some reach districts from both parties
Dem House Miss: HD-84 in Fort Wayne (Trump+29)
Rep House Miss: HD-08 in South Bend (Clinton+2)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-50 in Evansville (Trump+17)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-10 in South Bend (Clinton+25)
Nothing really major here, just some reach districts from both parties
IOWA:
Dem House Miss: HD-09 in Fort Dodge (Trump+16)
Rep House Miss: HD-13 in Sioux City (Trump+10)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-48 in Linn/Delaware Counties (Trump+16)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-34 in Marion (Clinton+3)
There's still a few Dem/Trump districts hanging around!
Dem House Miss: HD-09 in Fort Dodge (Trump+16)
Rep House Miss: HD-13 in Sioux City (Trump+10)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-48 in Linn/Delaware Counties (Trump+16)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-34 in Marion (Clinton+3)
There's still a few Dem/Trump districts hanging around!
KENTUCKY:
Dem House Miss: HD-59 in the Louisville suburbs (Trump+32)
Rep House Miss: HD-94 in Pikeville (Trump+61!)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-03 in Western Kentucky (Trump+38)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-37 in Louisville (Trump+6)
Ancestral Dems still somewhat kicking in Kentucky!
Dem House Miss: HD-59 in the Louisville suburbs (Trump+32)
Rep House Miss: HD-94 in Pikeville (Trump+61!)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-03 in Western Kentucky (Trump+38)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-37 in Louisville (Trump+6)
Ancestral Dems still somewhat kicking in Kentucky!
MAINE:
Dem House Miss: HD-23 in Standish (Trump+13)
Rep House Miss: HD-35 in Westbrook (Clinton+17)
Dem Senate Miss: None
Rep Senate Miss: SD-28 in Portland (Clinton+40)
Both parties did a really good job at finding candidates this year
Dem House Miss: HD-23 in Standish (Trump+13)
Rep House Miss: HD-35 in Westbrook (Clinton+17)
Dem Senate Miss: None
Rep Senate Miss: SD-28 in Portland (Clinton+40)
Both parties did a really good job at finding candidates this year
MICHIGAN:
Dem House Miss: None
Rep House Miss: HD-06 in Detroit (Clinton+83)
It's very easy to file for the State Legislature in Michigan (it only takes $100), so that's why almost every single district is contested save for the one in the heart of Detroit
Dem House Miss: None
Rep House Miss: HD-06 in Detroit (Clinton+83)
It's very easy to file for the State Legislature in Michigan (it only takes $100), so that's why almost every single district is contested save for the one in the heart of Detroit
MISSOURI:
Dem House Miss: HD-32 in the KC Suburbs (Trump+20)
Rep House Miss: HD-18 in Kansas City (Clinton+10)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-21 in West-Central Missouri (Trump+42)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-11 in the KC Suburbs (Trump+6)
Not many big misses here, aside from SD-11
Dem House Miss: HD-32 in the KC Suburbs (Trump+20)
Rep House Miss: HD-18 in Kansas City (Clinton+10)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-21 in West-Central Missouri (Trump+42)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-11 in the KC Suburbs (Trump+6)
Not many big misses here, aside from SD-11
MONTANA:
Dem House Miss: HD-86 in Hamilton (Trump+26)
Rep House Miss: HD-41 in SE Montana (Trump+10)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-23 in Billings (Trump+25)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-16 in NE Montana (Clinton+9)
A lot of the Republican misses came in Native American regions
Dem House Miss: HD-86 in Hamilton (Trump+26)
Rep House Miss: HD-41 in SE Montana (Trump+10)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-23 in Billings (Trump+25)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-16 in NE Montana (Clinton+9)
A lot of the Republican misses came in Native American regions
NEBRASKA:
Dem Senate Miss: SD-01 in SE Nebraska (Trump+43)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-13 in the Omaha outskirts (Clinton+27)
Nebraska is weird because technically everyone is running as a non-partisan, but I think I've deduced what party everyone belongs to
Dem Senate Miss: SD-01 in SE Nebraska (Trump+43)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-13 in the Omaha outskirts (Clinton+27)
Nebraska is weird because technically everyone is running as a non-partisan, but I think I've deduced what party everyone belongs to
NEVADA:
Dem Assembly Miss: AD-25 in Reno (Trump+4)
Rep Assembly Miss: AD-01 in North Las Vegas (Clinton+16)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-19 in Central Nevada (Trump+43)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-07 in Paradise (Clinton+21)
Dems' second biggest miss also came in Reno
Dem Assembly Miss: AD-25 in Reno (Trump+4)
Rep Assembly Miss: AD-01 in North Las Vegas (Clinton+16)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-19 in Central Nevada (Trump+43)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-07 in Paradise (Clinton+21)
Dems' second biggest miss also came in Reno
NEW MEXICO
Dem House Miss: HD-49 in South-Central NM (Trump+8)
Rep House Miss: HD-21/HD-26 in Albuquerque (Both are Clinton+22)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-40 in Rio Rancho (Trump+9)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-06 in Taos County (Clinton+44)
Dems missed on some reach districts
Dem House Miss: HD-49 in South-Central NM (Trump+8)
Rep House Miss: HD-21/HD-26 in Albuquerque (Both are Clinton+22)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-40 in Rio Rancho (Trump+9)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-06 in Taos County (Clinton+44)
Dems missed on some reach districts
NORTH CAROLINA:
Dem House Miss: HD-110 in Gaston/Cleveland Counties (Trump+44)
Rep House Miss: HD-50 in Caswell/Orange Counties (Clinton+15)
Dem Senate Miss: None
Rep Senate Miss: SD-41 in Northern Charlotte (Clinton+18)
Both parties did a really good job at filing
Dem House Miss: HD-110 in Gaston/Cleveland Counties (Trump+44)
Rep House Miss: HD-50 in Caswell/Orange Counties (Clinton+15)
Dem Senate Miss: None
Rep Senate Miss: SD-41 in Northern Charlotte (Clinton+18)
Both parties did a really good job at filing
NORTH DAKOTA:
Dem House Miss: HD-30 in Bismarck (Trump+46)
Rep House Miss: None
Dem Senate Miss: SD-40 in Minot (Trump+38)
Rep Senate Miss: None
It's kind of hard to miss when you control nearly every seat in the State Legislature, as seen here by Republicans.
Dem House Miss: HD-30 in Bismarck (Trump+46)
Rep House Miss: None
Dem Senate Miss: SD-40 in Minot (Trump+38)
Rep Senate Miss: None
It's kind of hard to miss when you control nearly every seat in the State Legislature, as seen here by Republicans.
OHIO:
Dem House Miss: HD-94 in the Athens area (Trump+12)
Rep House Miss: HD-31 in Cincinnati (Clinton+43)
Dem Senate Miss: None
Rep Senate Miss: None
No big misses from either party in either chamber
Dem House Miss: HD-94 in the Athens area (Trump+12)
Rep House Miss: HD-31 in Cincinnati (Clinton+43)
Dem Senate Miss: None
Rep Senate Miss: None
No big misses from either party in either chamber
OKLAHOMA:
Dem House Miss: HD-07 in Ottawa County (Trump+49)
Rep House Miss: HD-77 in Tulsa (Trump+8)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-41 in the OKC area (Trump+34)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-11 in Tulsa (Clinton+52)
HD-07 is here because it flipped from blue to red with no Dems filing
Dem House Miss: HD-07 in Ottawa County (Trump+49)
Rep House Miss: HD-77 in Tulsa (Trump+8)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-41 in the OKC area (Trump+34)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-11 in Tulsa (Clinton+52)
HD-07 is here because it flipped from blue to red with no Dems filing
OREGON:
Dem House Miss: None
Rep House Miss: HD-48 in Portland (Clinton+26.5)
Dem Senate Miss: None
Rep Senate Miss: SD-18 in Portland (Clinton+55)
Another state with good filing from both parties. Republicans in Portland though are the major exception...
Yes they exist
Dem House Miss: None
Rep House Miss: HD-48 in Portland (Clinton+26.5)
Dem Senate Miss: None
Rep Senate Miss: SD-18 in Portland (Clinton+55)
Another state with good filing from both parties. Republicans in Portland though are the major exception...
Yes they exist
PENNSYLVANIA:
Dem House Miss: HD-170 in Philadelphia (Clinton+1)
Rep House Miss: HD-07 in Hermitage (Trump+7)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-29 in Coal Country (Trump+36)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-05 in Philadelphia (Clinton+15)
Most big House misses for Reps came in ancestral D areas
Dem House Miss: HD-170 in Philadelphia (Clinton+1)
Rep House Miss: HD-07 in Hermitage (Trump+7)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-29 in Coal Country (Trump+36)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-05 in Philadelphia (Clinton+15)
Most big House misses for Reps came in ancestral D areas
SOUTH CAROLINA:
Dem House Miss: HD-46 in Rock Hill (Trump+13.5)
Rep House Miss: HD-93 in Calhoun County (Clinton+9)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-08 in Greenville (Trump+25)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-35 in the Sumter Area (Trump+6)
No real big misses aside from SD-35
Dem House Miss: HD-46 in Rock Hill (Trump+13.5)
Rep House Miss: HD-93 in Calhoun County (Clinton+9)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-08 in Greenville (Trump+25)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-35 in the Sumter Area (Trump+6)
No real big misses aside from SD-35
SOUTH DAKOTA:
Dem House Miss: HD-33 in Rapid City (Trump+36.5)
Rep House Miss: HD-28A In Corson/Ziebach/Dewey Counties (Clinton+3)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-07 in Brookings (Trump+4)
Rep Senate Miss: None
Democrats in South Dakota just fell off in the Senate
Dem House Miss: HD-33 in Rapid City (Trump+36.5)
Rep House Miss: HD-28A In Corson/Ziebach/Dewey Counties (Clinton+3)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-07 in Brookings (Trump+4)
Rep Senate Miss: None
Democrats in South Dakota just fell off in the Senate
TENNESSEE:
Dem House Miss: HD-74 in Humphreys/Houston Counties (Trump+30.5)
Rep House Miss: HD-41 in Jackson/Morgan Counties (Trump+57)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-18 in Sumner County (Trump+39.5)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-30 in Mephis (Clinton+63)
HD41 is probably the biggest miss so far
Dem House Miss: HD-74 in Humphreys/Houston Counties (Trump+30.5)
Rep House Miss: HD-41 in Jackson/Morgan Counties (Trump+57)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-18 in Sumner County (Trump+39.5)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-30 in Mephis (Clinton+63)
HD41 is probably the biggest miss so far
TEXAS:
Dem House Miss: HD-43 in the Rio Grande Valley (Trump+9)
Rep House Miss: HD-105 in Irving (Clinton+9.5)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-28 in Western Texas (Trump+50)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-26 in San Antonio (Clinton+33)
No big misses for either party here
Dem House Miss: HD-43 in the Rio Grande Valley (Trump+9)
Rep House Miss: HD-105 in Irving (Clinton+9.5)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-28 in Western Texas (Trump+50)
Rep Senate Miss: SD-26 in San Antonio (Clinton+33)
No big misses for either party here
UTAH:
Dem House Miss: HD-19 in the SLC Area (Trump+17)
Rep House Miss: HD-26 in Salt Lake City (Clinton+46)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-23 in the SLC Area (Trump+22)
Rep Senate Miss: None
No Blutah yet!
Dem House Miss: HD-19 in the SLC Area (Trump+17)
Rep House Miss: HD-26 in Salt Lake City (Clinton+46)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-23 in the SLC Area (Trump+22)
Rep Senate Miss: None
No Blutah yet!
And finally...
WEST VIRGINIA:
Dem House Miss: HD-63 in Berkeley County (Trump+26)
Rep House Miss: HD-34 in Braxton County (Trump+44)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-03 in the Parkersburg area (Trump+49)
Rep Senate Miss: None
Ancestral Dems are still alive here!
WEST VIRGINIA:
Dem House Miss: HD-63 in Berkeley County (Trump+26)
Rep House Miss: HD-34 in Braxton County (Trump+44)
Dem Senate Miss: SD-03 in the Parkersburg area (Trump+49)
Rep Senate Miss: None
Ancestral Dems are still alive here!
CONCLUSION:
State Legislatures are fun and if you want to learn more about them, check out my State Legislators Spreadsheet or read about this year's races with @CNalysis's great interactive maps! (/END THREAD) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1T9b0rxJcQIe3jzQw5l5SUvAXxf9c_kIAlNZz0dpvUtw/edit?usp=sharing
State Legislatures are fun and if you want to learn more about them, check out my State Legislators Spreadsheet or read about this year's races with @CNalysis's great interactive maps! (/END THREAD) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1T9b0rxJcQIe3jzQw5l5SUvAXxf9c_kIAlNZz0dpvUtw/edit?usp=sharing
