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1. A brief summary of what happened in Brazil the past few days. Sergio Moro, an instrumental figure to illegally impeach labor party Pres. Rousseff and energize the right wing base in Brasil, resigned as Bolsonaro's Minister of Justice. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/24/justice-ministers-sacking-plunges-brazil-into-turmoil
2. Moro single-handedly created the power imbalance, with a super-politicized Judicial system, that brought about the movement that ended with the election of far right Bolsonaro, the end of rule of law and a solid fascist movement in Brazil. https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/internacional/en/brazil/2020/04/an-isolated-bolsonaro-seeks-support-among-military.shtml
3. A few weeks ago, Bolsonaro's demise as head of the criminal coalition that heads Brazil was celebrated prematurely. Their group is actively mobilizing to destroy all democratic institutions. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/04/brazil-bolsonaro-joins-protest-coronavirus-curbs-200420042616860.html
4. However, the far-right Brazilian armed forces are increasingly uncomfortable with this arrangement. Their style of fascism requires control over the masses and much less mobilization. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-brazil-army/brazil-army-report-calls-for-isolation-to-slow-coronavirus-contradicting-bolsonaro-idUSKBN21O35X
5. Bolsonaro tried to regain the Army's favor, with no success. https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/internacional/en/brazil/2020/04/an-isolated-bolsonaro-seeks-support-among-military.shtml
6. This is what is happening right now: the Army supports Moro, who is more articulate and plays better into their agenda. Moro is spilling good dirt on Bolsonaro (not a fraction of what the criminal actually did), which will probably lead to his resignation.
7. Whether his resignation will be somewhat peaceful or not at all, we don't know. Any guess is premature. His base has, for the first time in Brazilian history, found grounds for a fascist identity.
8. For a long time, we used "fascism" between quotation marks or just for those knowledgeable enough. There is no doubt in Brazil anymore (or in the USA): it is textbook fascism.
9. Fascist mobs usually don't accept negotiated peaceful resolutions to conflict. Bolsonaro's base is completely out of control. It is possible that he will also lose the support of one important faction of Brazilian International Organized Crime.
10. He is a militia-man, Brazilian militias being illegal criminal organizations that bridge the connection between the irreversibly corrupt police and the powerful International Organized Crime.
11. There are too many variables right now in Brazil. We'll see what happens.
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