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THREAD: people on Twitter are suggesting lockdown isn't holding – or that public support for it is now suddenly falling.
Are they right? Let's find out… Sneaky spoiler/TL;dr: probably not!
All the below is courtesy of @YouGov daily polling.
Are they right? Let's find out… Sneaky spoiler/TL;dr: probably not!
All the below is courtesy of @YouGov daily polling.
First up: a majority of people *are* leaving their home each day. But is that number increasing? Judge for yourself, in what will be the first of a series of very flat line graphs (those dips? Weekends! The bigger, longer dip? Easter weekend!):
So people aren't leaving home more. But have they changed why they're leaving? Let's find out! Here's why people who left home say they did it.
Clear that people are combining different reasons to leave home. Also: people are going to supermarkets less at weekend. Handy to know.
Clear that people are combining different reasons to leave home. Also: people are going to supermarkets less at weekend. Handy to know.
The only bump in anything, if you're looking for one, is a small bump in people going to visit family, around last week – in fact, that's Easter Monday. Turns out there was a little (not even statistically significant) bump in Easter Sunday family visits.
People aren't reporting any new behaviour. Have their attitudes changed? A few key questions on that, direct and indirect.
Firstly, very very few people think Coronavirus is being taken too seriously, and it's not changing.
Firstly, very very few people think Coronavirus is being taken too seriously, and it's not changing.
Secondly, thinking Coronavirus restrictions are "too severe" is a very niche view, and it doesn't seem to be growing in popularity just yet:
Finally: the British public overwhelmingly say they'd carry on obeying lockdown rules even if they thought they were silly. And that number hasn't really changed either.
Is this definitive? No, nothing is – but unless people are fibbing to pollsters not just about their activities but also their views on lockdown, not much has actually changed.
Beware of Twitter anecdote.
Beware of Twitter anecdote.
