The 2015 Venezuelan Parliamentary Election was one of the most exciting elections I've witnessed. PSUV, the party of president Nicolás Maduro, lost in a landslide to the MUD, a coalition of opposition parties. It was the 2nd defeat chavismo suffered in the polls in 16 years.
The PSUV had been badly trailing in most pre-election polls, but its collapse was so dramatic that the opposition managed to get two thirds of the National Assembly's seats. You'll notice the MUD picked up lots of electoral circuits, chavismo didn't pick up a single one.
The MUD won most urban areas, often in landslides. Here are the top 10 municipalities by number of votes cast. None were particularly close.
The MUD also made inroads in working class sections of cities that had long been PSUV strongholds. Here are the top 10 parishes by number of votes cast. Here, Sucre and Miguel Peña, both largely poor sections of cities that had always votes for chavismo, were won by the MUD.
Chavismo took heavy losses in Caracas, losing every electoral circuit located in the city. A particularly shocking result was the 23 de Enero Parish, where the PSUV often won with over 60% of the vote in previous elections, was narrowly carried by the MUD.
The largest cities in the country featured similar results. The PSUV was blown out of the water in Maracaibo, Valencia, Maracay and Barquisimeto. The MUD won almost every electoral circuit located in these cities.
This is the swing map by electoral circuit, comparing it to the 2010 election. It is almost entirely a sea of deep blue.
Here's the municipality map. Note that this is a 15-point win for the blue color. Today in "land doesn't vote".
The swing map by municipality also shows big gains for the MUD almost everywhere, except in some odd municipalities. Here's a comparison between the 2010 Parliamentary election *and* the 2013 Presidential election (which also had a similar margin to the 2010 election).
Here's the Parish results map. Chavismo was almost entirely reduced to winning mostly rural parishes, though they did manage to maintain some deep red urban areas, notably Acarigua-Araure in Portuguesa and los Valles del Tuy in Miranda.
This wave election featured a number of "Wave Babies", deputies elected in usually non-competitive seats. The most notorious of these ones is, of course, Juan Guaidó, who is now Interim President. Guaidó was elected in Vargas, which had never been close in an election before.
The results of the election by state show a few surprising outcomes. Barinas, the late Hugo Chávez's home state, was won by the MUD. Monagas, Vargas, Aragua, and Trujillo (this one in particular was especially shocking) which had always been won by chavismo, were won by the MUD.
The swing map also shows that every state veered towards the opposition. The shift wasn't so drastic in Miranda, Nueva Esparta, Sucre, and Carabobo, because the opposition had already performed unusually well there in the 2010 election.
Finally (and I saved this for last because the satisfaction is bigger since this is where I lived back in Venezuela), here are the results for the San José Parish (Northern Valencia) in Carabobo, by voting center. It was the second most pro-opposition parish in the country.
That concludes this thread about the 2015 Venezuelan Parliamentary Election. Hope you find it interesting.
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