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1/ We all want concrete answers about when life can go back to normal. But clarity can be hard to find when one #COVID19 disease model projects 360 deaths in Minnesota while another expects 22,000. http://strib.mn/353szDI
2/ One model, commissioned by @mnhealth and designed by @PublicHealthUMN, projects 22,000 deaths in Minnesota over the next six months, with almost all of the deaths happening in a second wave after the state "stay at home" order ends the first week of May http://strib.mn/353szDI
3/ Another model, favored by the White House and produced by the @IHME_UW, expects only 360 deaths statewide and projects only a single peak in deaths — a scenario that assumes states wait to relax social distancing until new infections are very rare. http://strib.mn/353szDI
4/ So, how can scientists looking at the same data come up with such staggeringly different estimates? And who's right? We break it down: http://strib.mn/353szDI
