With good management and the luck of time and isolation, NZ and Aus are on track to eliminate the virus, which would be a stunning accomplishment. Only NZ has made that the stated policy, but if infections keep declining, both may get to zero. 3/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/24/world/australia/new-zealand-coronavirus.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/2...
Elimination is not the same as eradication. @otago’s Prof. Michael Baker told me the goal is to make Covid like measles: gone from a given area, with measures that can control new cases if they occur or come in from abroad. But that’s the tough part. 4/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/24/world/australia/new-zealand-coronavirus.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/2...
Even if NZ or Aus declare the virus eliminated, which may never happen bc of asymptomatic cases, maintaining control could mean locking out the world. Or, in the future, will only the ‘zero’ countries allow travel, tourism and foreign students? 5/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/24/world/australia/new-zealand-coronavirus.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/2...
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