THREAD 1/ Some data and graphs using @DHSWI data on #Wisconsin's #COVIDー19 cases. We've had two high new-case days in a row, which pushes the 3-day rolling average up (blue bars):

2/ The red line is the 3-day rolling average of percentage of positive tests. Yesterday, again, was a high number: 12%. Today was 9.6%, a number that is still above mid-April numbers. You can see both the red line and the blue bars are up from 2 weeks ago.

3/ That annotated graph uses the April 7 election day as a benchmark, since its forced in-person voting was the biggest interruption to the state's "safer at home" policies designed to slow the spread. The 7-8 incubation/test time is also noted starting at election day.

4/ Some have insisted that election day didn't cause a spike or surge or rise in cases. However, at least 7 voters/poll workers in Milwaukee, 2 in Kenosha, and 19 or more statewide have tested positive with election day the likely point of infection.

5/ I dunno, looking at this is sure seems like SOMETHING happened around April 7 that cause cases and rates of positive tests to start moving back up.

6/ Here's the same data but showing a 7-day rolling average, to better smooth out daily noise.

7/ And with trendlines and incubation-testing time noted. Again, it sure seems like we were getting things taken care of through mid-April, and then things started inching back up again.

8/ The hope would be as we increase the number of tests processed in a day--and the last two days, the number of tests was way up!--the percentage of positive tests would decline. That would mean spread is contained and isolation/contact tracing can be effective.

9/ But we are not trending that way. We are nowhere near ready to move to phase 1 of @GovEvers's "Badger Bounce Back," which wants two weeks in the right direction. "Open up" protesters need to get that through their heads.

10/10. Finally, the possessive of Evers is Evers'. Not Ever's. Stop typing that, people.

(Unless you say Evers-es, in which case you can type Evers's. But who says Evers-es?)