#Veepstakes are underway & while everyone has an opinion for @joebiden there’s little actual data. Donors of Color Action released only poll thus far asking voters how they'd feel abt specific VP picks. It has important & overlooked findings A THREAD 1/ http://donorsofcoloraction.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Final_VPpollmemo-.pdf

Poll was conducted by Merriman River Group from 3/23-4/5, in Midwestern states of Wisconsin (N=842) & Michigan (N=798) & asked voters abt @amyklobuchar @SenCortezMasto @staceyabrams @GovWhitmer @KamalaHarris @ewarren @RepValDemings @SenDuckworth 2/

Respondents were asked if each person “would be a great pick for Vice President, a good pick, only a so-so pick, or not a good pick” 3/

There are FOUR significant findings that have been largely overlooked in commentary to date, contrary to conventional wisdom and relevant to deliberations about what potential veep picks bring to the ticket 4/

FIRST, Abrams & Harris are much stronger than Whitmer in Wisconsin. Conventional wisdom holds Whitmer helps in Midwest beyond MI, but data contradicts that point. Not only are Abrams & Harris stronger across the board, they beat Whitmer *among Whites* in Wisconsin 5/

SECOND, Abrams and Harris run stronger across racial spectrum than both Whitmer and Klobuchar. Much of the VP debate is whether to appeal to white women or people of color/African Americans, but little exploration of who appeals to both. 6/

Both Abrams and Harris do better with Whites than Klobuchar/Whitmer do with Blacks. Applying standard deviation to polling results reveals that Abrams and Harris have greater consistency across racial groups while Klobuchar only does well with Whites. 7/

THIRD, Warren’s strength is underappreciated. She bests all candidates among Sanders supporters (followed by Harris & Abrams). 8/

FOURTH, Abrams, one of least known candidates, has surprisingly strong support (even leading everyone among African Americans). Adjusting for the ‘unsure’s suggests she has the highest ceiling of all the candidates. 9/

For the data nerds, the cross-tabs and underlying spreadsheets can be found here https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1vhK0xg2l2Wj1bWphMemW8UlvK2sPrGWp?usp=sharing 10/

Hunches & instincts will run rampant during this process, but data & evidence should matter most if Dems want to win in Nov. DOCA's poll offers valuable evidence and everyone should push future polls to explore *breadth* of geographic & racial appeal. END//