DISCLAIMER ON ECONOMIC DATA DURING COVID19: 1/

it is true. Most medical/epidemiological papers on Covid19 are garbage

But the economic projections are even worse if any

That is why we are not making any projections.

They are useless for few reasons: 2/

1) this period stochastic data are crap
2) reaction function is impossible to estimate during lockdown with undetermined phase 2
3) in any case all data at point 1) are going to be one-offs

therefore i dont care about 2020 D/Gdp ratios or else

Planning on 2020 datra, would be like planning at what time i will go to the beach in Miami during a hurricane
cheers
3/3

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