There's only 3 or 4 people who REALLY know Miami's plan for tomorrow. We can speculate, but the only thing we know for certain is this: they've done a job for the AGES in creating confusion around pick 5. Trade up, down, LT, Herbert, Love. But Occam's Razor points to one man: Tua

It's always been Tua Tagovailoa. Watch the tape. See what he does with the ball. See how he works pre-snap. Watch his eyes. How he manipulates the pocket. His feet. His athletic ability. Are the injuries a worry? Of course. But truthfully, the hip was such a freak accident.

Speak to Tua: I had the pleasure of doing so for @Gridiron recently & you get what the fuss is about, why players/coaches love him. Why @DilfersDimes eulogises about him. Leader of men. An Alabama staffer told me a great story about that leadership after the 2017 Iron Bowl loss.

Said the Tide locker room was almost silent. National Title dreams on life support. Yet one lone voice could be heard geeing everyone up. In a locker room of Ridley, Minkah, Jalen, Evans, etc, it was a true freshman QB called Tua Tagovailoa who got them going again that night.

Consider this: there probably won't be much of an NFL season in 2020. Teams will want players who don't need much work. Go & watch the 2016 Elite 11 documentary. See how @DilfersDimes gets angry with Tua's style. Two months later he's changed his game completely & wins Elite 11.

He's also more than just a QB. He's a star. Not many people are known by just one name. It sells shirts, puts bums on seats, gets people excited. He can handle the pressure of Miami & Marino's shadow because he's ALWAYS had pressure. Back at Saint Johns, from his dad, at Bama.

Many years ago Miami made a mistake with an injured QB they're still paying for. They passed on Drew Brees for Daunte Culpepper. They cannot make that mistake again on what's arguably THE most important day in a generation & maybe ever for this team. You didn't "tank" for a LT.

I don't think Justin Herbert was ever the guy. I think Jordan Love could be if it goes wrong. I know they love Thomas & Wirfs. They LOVE Derrick Brown. But don't pass on a transcendent player at the most important spot. Not with his skill set. Tua Tagovailoa no matter what.