A q, which clearly I will ask directly (but if there’s one thing writing about the NHS prompts is doubt in your own understanding). Greater Manchester’s hospital system has been running at 40-50% spare capacity for at least 3 weeks. Who were the other patients

Who *would* have been in ICU or A&E? There’s a lot of counterfactuals to be worked out, I assume, but eg in March I’d normally be looking at the end of the winter data and thinking ‘bloody hell, that A&E is still screwed’. And now they’re all 50% below expected intake