I& #39;m bullish on Biden in Florida. It& #39;s still slightly R-leaning, but in a D-leaning environment, it& #39;s quite winnable. https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1253022635799306243">https://twitter.com/SteveKorn...

People take the wrong lesson from 2018. Most of the state wasn& #39;t "wave-proof,” as this @mcimaps map of Clinton->Nelson performance shows. The wrinkle was that DeSantis/Scott were stronger with Hispanics than Trump.

Three areas moved right & cost Dems in FL in 2018:

1. Southwest FL (conservative Midwestern transplants)
2. Orlando area (Puerto Ricans)
3. Miami-Dade (Cubans)

Only the first of those is likely to hold in 2020.

As @mcimaps writes here, Miami-Dade’s became predictably less blue in the midterm (thanks largely to Cuban-American precincts). But don& #39;t be shocked if Biden breaks Clinton& #39;s record for biggest margin there in 2020. https://mcimaps.com/what-went-wrong-in-miami-dade-county-in-2018/">https://mcimaps.com/what-went...