Unfollowed @qiaocollective, another account with a total lack of nuanced analysis. I am going to ignore their sophomoric analysis of the US' movements in the South China Sea (and to a lesser extent, the Persian Gulf)
People make an effort of trying to make a war seem inevitable. Some have agendas, some are misguided. But what they don't make a point about is that they overestimate the US' ability to escape any war intact. They presume in a war that China will just accept conventional warfare.
Like if the existence of the Chinese state is at threat... you just think they will just sit idly by and let America attack them? You believe that they just have 'a few nukes'?
They have no analysis about military technology or any sort of analysis about how escalation will play out. Or how the timeframes are affected by the developments in tech. Or, in fact, how escalation will occur. People yet again just blindly presuming that America is in control.
Using that picture of the bases is a limited analysis again. You think that military planners do not plan against such an obvious threat? You think that they don't plan in case war is possible in the next 5-10 years?
Personally I believe the hypersonic missiles were introduced precisely because they know they need to buy time. They know the Americans are deranged.
For what it is worth, I personally believe that the American mindset has decided that they want to try their luck in a war. That is not on China, that is on America. And a handful of Americans protesting against it will not do anything.
They say "we can't control the timeframe" but at the same time, this also applies "America needs to stop presuming that they will just walk all over China and remain intact". I think people are greatly underestimating the damage US can sustain and are just presuming they will win
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