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The @nytimes (among others) recently analyzed excess mortality.
As a Belgian I was surprised by the results (we would be over-reporting ?!), and did my own analysis for BE, NL, FR, EN. Full datasets, methodology and sources at https://github.com/pduchesne/covid-overmortality.https://github.com/pduchesne... class="Emoji" style="height:16px;" src=" https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Down pointing backhand index" aria-label="Emoji: Down pointing backhand index">
As a Belgian I was surprised by the results (we would be over-reporting ?!), and did my own analysis for BE, NL, FR, EN. Full datasets, methodology and sources at https://github.com/pduchesne/covid-overmortality.
First observation: by week 14, Belgium underestimates by 26%, others by ~50%. So yes, Belgium appears to be less under-reporting, hence the higher mortality seen in official reports. Yet quite different from https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1252673503435816966">https://twitter.com/nytimes/s... .
@nytimes, where did you get your belgian data?
@nytimes, where did you get your belgian data?
When it comes to observed excess mortality, BE, NL and EN have a similar overmortality of ~280 deaths per M after 4 weeks of pandemic, and FR is lower at 213. However such a comparison is hazardous, as it& #39;s difficult to align weekly data on hypothetic pandemic starting points.
I would add that, in official stats, Belgium distances itself clearly from these countries from Apr, 8th on. So I& #39;m looking forward to the next batch of data to analyze that. Stay tuned. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-covid-deaths-per-million?tab=chart&time=2020-03-20..&country=BEL+FRA+NLD+GBR">https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/t...
