NEW: Today's update of the @FinancialTimes UK death model suggests that by 22 April there have been roughly

43,100

excess deaths linked to coronavirus.
The 2,000 increase from Tuesday reflects:
a) 759 hospital deaths scaled up for community deaths
b) new Scottish data... 1/

The new Scottish data shows more excess deaths than the model had predicted for deaths up to 10 April registered by 13 April. These adjustments are to be expected because we are getting data in all the time and many of the model's assumptions err on the cautious side.

With some back revisions, the latest UK chart estimates looks like this

The free to read article explaining my methods is here https://www.ft.com/content/67e6a4ee-3d05-43bc-ba03-e239799fa6ab

And the initial thread from this morning is here

https://twitter.com/ChrisGiles_/status/1252841436317315072

ENDS