Thread by @AndiHK, Why is Orange County on the downside of the curve? Because we [...]

Why is Orange County on the downside of the curve? Because we had the first cases of CV19 back in Jan. Taking into account incubation, we likely had it longer.
Hoag Hospital is 45 minutes away from Disneyland door-to-door in traffic (freeway or sidestreets). 1/

This affirms the USC, Stanford, Isreali, and Fouci published papers that CV is deadly, however, not as deadly as the modeling predicted.
Fauci& #39;s paper, published in late March, likened it to seasonal flu. Why did he stand up at the pressers and claim otherwise? 2/

Fauci& #39;s paper from March:
"the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza" https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387?fbclid=IwAR0MvgU78VvJ1u3LuO0KZI0C7MFG_VrupTM-c__o12hRS_FBPfTz6kfeIMQ">https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/...

Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted | NEJM

Editorial from The New England Journal of Medicine — Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387?fbclid=IwAR0MvgU78VvJ1u3LuO0KZI0C7MFG_VrupTM-c__o12hRS_FBPfTz6kfeIMQ

LA DOPH press release about the USC study:
"preliminary results from a collaborative scientific study that suggests infections from the new CV are far more widespread - and the fatality rate much lower - in L.A. County than previously thought." 4/
http://www.publichealth.lacounty.gov/phcommon/public/media/mediapubhpdetail.cfm?prid=2328">https://www.publichealth.lacounty.gov/phcommon/...

Stanford paper:
"Results The unadjusted prevalence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 in Santa Clara County was 1.5% (exact binomial 95CI 1.11-1.97%)" 5/ https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1">https://www.medrxiv.org/content/1...

COVID-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, California

Background Addressing COVID-19 is a pressing health and social concern. To date, many epidemic projections and policies addressing COVID-19 have been designed without seroprevalence data to inform...

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1

Countries that locked down didn& #39;t show much difference than those that did.
"A similar pattern – rapid increase in infections to a peak in the sixth week, and decline from the eighth week – is common everywhere, regardless of response policies" 6/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/the-end-of-exponential-growth-the-decline-in-the-spread-of-coronavirus/?fbclid=IwAR1vv888hwjAvtVV_0JKWcM7VMD050E9ePl3zWiw-Zmz2YOjR0kfP4bbseE">https://www.timesofisrael.com/the-end-o...

The end of exponential growth: The decline in the spread of coronavirus

A similar pattern – rapid increase in infections to a peak in the sixth week, and decline from the eighth week – is common everywhere, regardless of response policies

https://www.timesofisrael.com/the-end-of-exponential-growth-the-decline-in-the-spread-of-coronavirus/?fbclid=IwAR1vv888hwjAvtVV_0JKWcM7VMD050E9ePl3zWiw-Zmz2YOjR0kfP4bbseE

We know that the first OC case of CV was in January. That patient recovered fully. The first US CV fatality was in Feb. https://www.sfchronicle.com/health/article/First-known-U-S-coronavirus-death-occurred-on-15217316.php?fbclid=IwAR1xDcBRHcU0R46iXbid6i3S80lHo1ksAR4fSIVtmgHZ2Gv7XezIhBNP0ao">https://www.sfchronicle.com/health/ar...

First known U.S. coronavirus death occurred on Feb. 6 in Santa Clara County

A person who died at home in Santa Clara County on Feb. 6 was infected with the coronavirus at the time of death, a stunning discovery that makes that individual the first recorded COVID-19 fatality...

https://www.sfchronicle.com/health/article/First-known-U-S-coronavirus-death-occurred-on-15217316.php?fbclid=IwAR1xDcBRHcU0R46iXbid6i3S80lHo1ksAR4fSIVtmgHZ2Gv7XezIhBNP0ao

Interestingly... Dr. Birx compares CV to the seasonal flu and even claims the flu cases have gone down

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤔" title="Thinking face" aria-label="Emoji: Thinking face">
Her statement reflects Dr. Fauci& #39;s published March paper. 8/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zeFeKjd_uwM&feature=youtu.be">https://www.youtube.com/watch... https://www.youtube.com/watch...

Dr. Birx& #39;s graphic about Flu.
9/

But what about pneumonia? Data shows we& #39;ve basically eradicated pneumonia... or are those cases being counted as CV?

“Its not that the curve has flattened, we’re on the other side of the curve and headed down!”
- Dr. Brant-Zawadzki, M.D., F.A.C.R., Senior Physician Executive, Hoag Hospital April 15 update. 11/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekdzIIOFPFY">https://www.youtube.com/watch...

The illness is real, and has the potential to be dangerous to people with certain commodities. Obesity, diabetes, and immuno conditions are thrown around, but another consideration... those with G6PD enzyme deficiency. HQ treatment could be a problem. 12/ https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/hydroxychloroquine-is-not-associated-with-hemolytic-anemia-in-glucose-6-phosphate-dehydrogenase-g6pd-deficient-patients/">https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/...

Hydroxychloroquine Is Not Associated with Hemolytic Anemia in Glucose-6-Phosphate Dehydrogenase...

Background/Purpose: Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) is frequently used to treat autoimmune diseases. The HCQ package insert and online drug information resources report an increased risk of hemolytic...

https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/hydroxychloroquine-is-not-associated-with-hemolytic-anemia-in-glucose-6-phosphate-dehydrogenase-g6pd-deficient-patients/

G6PD enzyme deficiency is usually found in people of Asian, African, and Mediterranean descent. COVID in the lungs and attacks the RBC’s and surfactants, with the deficiency...it will speed up the issue quickly!
Perhaps that is once factor why China and Italy got hit hard.

"An ex vivo study has shown that G6PD-deficient cells are more vulnerable to human coronavirus infection than G6PD-normal cells "
14/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7166036/">https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/artic...

G6PD deficiency in COVID-19 pandemic: “a ghost in the ghost”

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7166036/

Same study also states:
"G6PD deficiency can be a challenge during the COVID‐19 pandemic. The above-cited ex vivo study has found that α‐lipoic acid can attenuate the vulnerability of G6PD-deficient cells"
Also, the virus rapidly mutates. Treatment vs. vaccine
15/

Different reports of different strains circulating. Rapid mutation.
Asian media: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3079491/deadly-coronavirus-comes-three-variants-researchers-find?fbclid=IwAR2-7UdJMT9T-IUeT9FLLkHJSChm2iZkTUxyCNmunRBTGKxn0btmKCdir1c
16/">https://www.scmp.com/news/chin...

USA Today: 8 strains:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/03/27/scientists-track-coronavirus-strains-mutation/5080571002/?fbclid=IwAR25onjVE29-Ik0LA_y6mfU11-sNbvWYD29jRBQS9uMK6aSx2VQaUEzeaFg">https://www.usatoday.com/story/new...

Today& #39;s report from Newsweek:
"coronavirus has developed mutations with the potential to "significantly" change the way it causes disease. Researchers identified 33 mutations... across 11 patient-derived isolates, 19 of which they say are new.
https://www.newsweek.com/sars-cov-2-coronavirus-mutate-study-china-1499503">https://www.newsweek.com/sars-cov-...
17/

Coronavirus has acquired mutations that could "substantially" change its ability to cause disease

Research from China identified 33 mutations of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, 19 of which were new.

https://www.newsweek.com/sars-cov-2-coronavirus-mutate-study-china-1499503

Back to OC:

Population: 3,179,950
Deaths attributed to Corona: 33

.0000103% of the population has reportedly died in Orange County from CV.

(I’ve included the top ten cause of death numbers in 2017 for OC to lend some perspective.)

Hoag Hospital calls it the & #39;Fear Virus"
"The individual risk of dying from a Covid infection is less than 1%"

Fear is a powerful emotion. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYPnF2Dz-7Q">https://www.youtube.com/watch...

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