JUST IN -- New numbers are in for #COVID19Colorado

Deaths: 486 (up 37)
Total Cases: 10,445 (up 339)
Total Tests: 48,704 (*I'm going to change how I compare here)
In Hospital today: 851 (***down 10)

***(using CHA data)

Will dive deeper into numbers below...

(MORE)

#9news
Few things to consider...

1.) I will try not to use hospitalization counts from state moving forward... the counts are cumulative and, thus, not as helpful in terms of context when compared to @COHospitalAssn numbers - which show a day-by day bed count
2.) Total tests... For future analysis I'm going to use numbers at the bottom of this page...

(I feel these numbers are better when doing day-by-day analysis.)

https://covid19.colorado.gov/data/case-data 
Let's look first at hospitalizations.

Here is a snip of the CHA graph.

(NOTE: 1.) the daily hospital bed count for COVID patients in Colorado has clearly plateaued... NOTE BLUE LINE BELOW
2.) green line indicates discharges... While an imp metric, I'm going to skip for now)
This follows along with what @CDPHE leadership has been saying for days...

Things to consider:
1.) We are NOT showing a marked decline in daily counts.. In fact, it appears to be staying flat... indicative that as patients get discharged, more patients are taking their place)
2.) The initial worries of COVID-19 patients overwhelming system have abated...

But I am hearing there remains concern in some hospitals when it comes to ventilators...

A few have JUST enough to deal now... but even a small influx of patients who need vents could challenge them
Now let's look at another critical metric...

Total tested...

For this let's focus on this graph at the bottom of the daily report..

(Ignore red line for now... Take note of green and yellow bars... Green = private lab tests... Yellow = state lab tests)
What do you notice about total tests, day by day, over the course of the last few weeks?

Yes... Since March 24... Or nearly FOUR weeks ago... testing in Colorado has stagnated...

(Note my childlike black lines here)
If anything, the last week represents a decrease in testing...

(which might explain why state lab testing has once again ramped up)
For a state that just last week had @CDPHE leadership publicly commenting on the need for more testing...

this represents a problem.

@GovofCO is letting Stay at Home order expire Sunday.

Unless some sort of miracle happens with testing, state will open up w/o inc testing
So... what have we learned?

By my thinking, we've learned two things...

1.) Hospitalizations aren't increasing... But they're not going down quickly either
2.) Testing is NOT increasing. (In fact, it might be dec

Despite that, state starts to reopen in less than a week.
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