Read on Twitter
"Langkah 4 & 5 tidak boleh diperdahului langkah 1 & 2."
Very eloquent way to explain why the public gatherings like the tabligh event still went on in the early stages of the outbreak. Or why Khalid was still riding hot air balloons. https://twitter.com/501Awani/status/1252594537203068930
Very eloquent way to explain why the public gatherings like the tabligh event still went on in the early stages of the outbreak. Or why Khalid was still riding hot air balloons. https://twitter.com/501Awani/status/1252594537203068930
Should public gatherings like the tabligh cluster be banned early on?
Yes, definitely. It would've prevented at least 35% of the cumulative total cases.
But could we have predicted it at that time?
Yes, definitely. It would've prevented at least 35% of the cumulative total cases.
But could we have predicted it at that time?
The Wuhan lockdown happened on the 23rd of Jan. First Malaysian case was on 25th (Chinese national via SG).
WHO declared a global health emergency on 31st Jan. Travel ban to Malaysia announced for Chinese nationals from Hubei or provinces which are undergoing lockdown.
WHO declared a global health emergency on 31st Jan. Travel ban to Malaysia announced for Chinese nationals from Hubei or provinces which are undergoing lockdown.
Dr Dzul said 'tiada keperluan' to stop public gatherings on 12 Feb.
Ah Jib Gor quoted this article on his FB and highlights the part abt WHO.
What he neglects to mention is at that time, we were still at the early containment phase of the pandemic. https://www.sinarharian.com.my/article/69793/KHAS/Koronavirus/Kadar-jangkitan-Covid-19-kekal-18-550-orang-jalani-ujian?fbclid=IwAR0zLmtjcS-4ycsYDNvilXEl2ZwADVbFgIG-A_R6R_4ypZ2TlW92wy9aDRk
Ah Jib Gor quoted this article on his FB and highlights the part abt WHO.
What he neglects to mention is at that time, we were still at the early containment phase of the pandemic. https://www.sinarharian.com.my/article/69793/KHAS/Koronavirus/Kadar-jangkitan-Covid-19-kekal-18-550-orang-jalani-ujian?fbclid=IwAR0zLmtjcS-4ycsYDNvilXEl2ZwADVbFgIG-A_R6R_4ypZ2TlW92wy9aDRk
As of 12 Feb 2020, we had 18 positives out of 550 tested. Multiple labs were being prepared among other measures KKM was doing.
As of then, no new cases were being reported and 3 patients have already recovered.
The situation was very much in control.
As of then, no new cases were being reported and 3 patients have already recovered.
The situation was very much in control.
In fact, a public ban on gathering was still not found to be necessary by KKM on 5th March when DG Hisham says the situation is still under control and still in the Early Containment phase
When there was still no Health Minister, mind you. https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2020/03/572085/no-ban-public-gatherings-conferences-dr-noor-hisham#Intent;action=open_link;launchFlags=0x10000000;component=com.opera.touch/.MainActivity;end
When there was still no Health Minister, mind you. https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2020/03/572085/no-ban-public-gatherings-conferences-dr-noor-hisham#Intent;action=open_link;launchFlags=0x10000000;component=com.opera.touch/.MainActivity;end
Then the tabligh cluster was announced on 11th March.
Only on 13th March were public gatherings banned. Only after we suspected a future spike in new cases.
That's when KKM implemented the Late Containment Phase on 16th March. And MCO started on 18th March.
Only on 13th March were public gatherings banned. Only after we suspected a future spike in new cases.
That's when KKM implemented the Late Containment Phase on 16th March. And MCO started on 18th March.
Here's a brief chronology of events. Found on r/malaysia
The point is, hindsight is always 20/20. It would've been great if we banned public gatherings when there were only 18 positive cases and contact tracing were being done.
But that would've been a disproportionate response to a developing and unprecedented event.
But that would've been a disproportionate response to a developing and unprecedented event.
We couldn't even ban Friday prayers after finding out about the tabligh cluster. At that point, we had 149 total positive cases, a far cry from the 18 cases on 12th Feb.
Sekian thread palatao saya. Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong anywhere in this thread.
